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Testing the previous low via seemingly exhaustion bar (largest red and vol surge), so I say a rebound here first then we'll see.
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/es 1hr 4hr .. as with the SPY .. possible diamond.. need to watch for a pullback .. if it happens.. red dashed/pink then yellow trend support http://thepatternsite.com/diamondt.html
US had the 'expected' below expectations miss on retail sales this a.m. which led to the drop on the S&P futures below 2000 to 1990. Based on the predictions I've seen for the USD/JPY pair, I'm expecting both to go down today. USD/JPY pair is said to find support at the last low of 115.55 (right now at 116.55).
Today could be a lower low compared to 1/6. That would confirm daily SPY is in wave c down (of the overall ABC correction starting on 12/30).
A lot of people seem to be mentally resisting this correction overall. Many failed calls of a v bottom, and many seem to be in disbelief that it is possible to keep dropping. I expect when the bottom comes, most will be too exhausted to correctly call it! Now some double bottom calls are coming out (which again I expect will also fail).
But the truth is, most corrections are ABC and one should expect them.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
too stretched, so a rebound first then we'll see. I'd be surprised if not sharp rebound at open.
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