AK84 wrote:Anyone know what dates Jackson hole is ? When does the Bernank speakk ? ? Looks like they will take the market to under 1100 right before he rockets it higher with QE3. I really cant imagine there being no pressure from other Fed officialls regarding this. Gold is already parabolic as it is ....this will make it go insane but I stay away from the Gold trade .
jackson hole will be started mid next week, and ben's speech is scheduled 10am ET 8/26/2011.
to my evil spirit, spx at 1000 will be more helpful in proving his new qe is correct and necessary.
Thanks Soku and Jarbo . yes I think 1040ish is a good spoe before launching QE 3.
So what happens to Gold then ? Is it really going to go up forever? What , if any , are the catalysts to make gold go lower besides liquidity issues ? I can hardly imagine Central Banks start to sell gold to pay their debt. That would be the dumbest move ever.
profit taking will be the #1 reason for a large correction in gold. higher margin requirements will be #2.
my personal opinion is that we've had a larger interest in gold once the silver market's parabolic rise broke in may...aka traders who might've chosen silver over gold for the better performance, moved solely into gold.
but i would imagine a similar break in the parabolic move in gold at some point.
since i have plans this afternoon for my ornithologist business, i wish:
es to stay in my box from yesterday 1135-1145. anything cross the line will be treated as overshooting and should be shot.
hold the fort. ciao
The goal is not uniformity. It is understanding and idea exchange.
AK84 wrote:Anyone know what dates Jackson hole is ? When does the Bernank speakk ? ? Looks like they will take the market to under 1100 right before he rockets it higher with QE3. I really cant imagine there being no pressure from other Fed officialls regarding this. Gold is already parabolic as it is ....this will make it go insane but I stay away from the Gold trade .
jackson hole will be started mid next week, and ben's speech is scheduled 10am ET 8/26/2011.
to my evil spirit, spx at 1000 will be more helpful in proving his new qe is correct and necessary.
Thanks Soku and Jarbo . yes I think 1040ish is a good spoe before launching QE 3.
So what happens to Gold then ? Is it really going to go up forever? What , if any , are the catalysts to make gold go lower besides liquidity issues ? I can hardly imagine Central Banks start to sell gold to pay their debt. That would be the dumbest move ever.
Gold prices are linked to below average interest rates.
See this model it did very well in the past few years, and it seems the sky is the limit :
just wanted to mention that ruling out a huge rally today we'll have a bearish weekly engulfing on RUT,SPX. cobra, do you know what are the success rates for this pattern?
AK84 wrote:Anyone know what dates Jackson hole is ? When does the Bernank speakk ? ? Looks like they will take the market to under 1100 right before he rockets it higher with QE3. I really cant imagine there being no pressure from other Fed officialls regarding this. Gold is already parabolic as it is ....this will make it go insane but I stay away from the Gold trade .
jackson hole will be started mid next week, and ben's speech is scheduled 10am ET 8/26/2011.
to my evil spirit, spx at 1000 will be more helpful in proving his new qe is correct and necessary.
Thanks Soku and Jarbo . yes I think 1040ish is a good spoe before launching QE 3.
So what happens to Gold then ? Is it really going to go up forever? What , if any , are the catalysts to make gold go lower besides liquidity issues ? I can hardly imagine Central Banks start to sell gold to pay their debt. That would be the dumbest move ever.
Gold prices are linked to below average interest rates.
See this model it did very well in the past few years, and it seems the sky is the limit :
ocassional observer wrote:just wanted to mention that ruling out a huge rally today we'll have a bearish weekly engulfing on RUT,SPX. cobra, do you know what are the success rates for this pattern?
can you show us the chart? i'm not seeing the engulfing pattern.
I don't see much reason to think we retest the high as the moves up look corrective now. If rebound isn't over we'll get an afternoon rally and then it's likely over with more selling monday. No afternoon rally, then we'll likely see a rebound Monday that will be just as easy to fade as this one has been.
I think 1140 SPX on closing basis is what Bulls need to see to have any conviction we'll move higher next week.
My bottom signal still needs more time so we could slowly grind down to a low and likely need to form a base. Remember what John Murphy says, Tops are quick and bottoms take a long time.
Bye guys, have a great weekend. I'm long (small position) because everybody is so bearish, me too, and secondly because I believe the markets will be trading sideways/higher into Jackson Hole...
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