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04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:07 am
by Cobra
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Huge gap down so chances are the gap won't be filled.
Temporarily maintain the Double Top target around ES 1366, mentioned in 04/05 Market Outlook. The overnight session, so far, looks like a Bear Flag, so chances are it'd resume the downtrend sometimes later.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:17 am
by Petsamo
They better not hammer my Spain, dangit!

I'm in EWP.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:20 am
by proteus46
Possible over-shoot of 61.8 Fib line around 1371
I think SPX 1369 will hold.
If SPX 1364-1365 is reached that would be a good counter-trend daytrade for going long XIV .
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:22 am
by oldpigwang
GM, Cobra: Is today a buying opportinuty?
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:23 am
by Cobra
oldpigwang wrote:GM, Cobra: Is today a buying opportinuty?
I cannot answer directly. see 04/05 Market Outlook, judging the odds by yourself.

Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:23 am
by Xian
Cobra,
Any insight to the "open low and go higher" trend for a bad NFP?
Thanks!
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:31 am
by Cobra
the open. this is way too stretched, so should be rebound of something here.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:40 am
by TraderGirl
I posted this chart of the VIX on 3/27...Ha! It worked again.....the triangle target has usually been overshot....
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:44 am
by johnnywa
They say no China hard or soft landing,the are re accelerating allready,what does that do for bearish case.I thought China have big slowdown effect U.S exports.Cobra you chinese whats your take whats going on over there
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:45 am
by grachu
cobra consolidition here is BAD for bulls ?
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:46 am
by Petsamo
johnnywa wrote:They say no China hard or soft landing,the are re accelerating allready,what does that do for bearish case.I thought China have big slowdown effect U.S exports.Cobra you chinese whats your take whats going on over there
China is already beat up.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:50 am
by johnnywa
Petsamo wrote:johnnywa wrote:They say no China hard or soft landing,the are re accelerating allready,what does that do for bearish case.I thought China have big slowdown effect U.S exports.Cobra you chinese whats your take whats going on over there
China is already beat up.
Thats not what report on cnbc say
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:55 am
by Harapa
Per DeMark it is short at L1 or H2 day.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:57 am
by Cobra
grachu wrote:cobra consolidition here is BAD for bulls ?
it's not consolidation. wait.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:57 am
by Petsamo
johnnywa wrote:Petsamo wrote:johnnywa wrote:They say no China hard or soft landing,the are re accelerating allready,what does that do for bearish case.I thought China have big slowdown effect U.S exports.Cobra you chinese whats your take whats going on over there
China is already beat up.
Thats not what report on cnbc say
So short it.
FXI, GXC, & HAO are US ETFs with Chinese companies
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 9:57 am
by TWT
SPX: Down side price action is corrective.
I am working with a Zig Zag.
Wave (C) projectd target range = 1370-1354
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 10:01 am
by Me XMan
Gonna cover at SPX 1374 and then go long for a dead cat bounce.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 10:01 am
by Cobra
still pretty much looks like a Bear Flag so far.
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 10:07 am
by TraderGirl
TWT wrote:SPX: Down side price action is corrective.
I am working with a Zig Zag.
Wave (C) projectd target range = 1370-1354
Doesn't it look impulsive down?
Re: 04/09/2012 Live Update
Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 10:13 am
by TWT
TraderGirl wrote:TWT wrote:SPX: Down side price action is corrective.
I am working with a Zig Zag.
Wave (C) projectd target range = 1370-1354
Doesn't it look impulsive down?
Not to me