Page 1 of 2
08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 8:02 am
by Cobra
If you're StockCharts member, please do me a little favor by "vote" and the most importantly "follow" my public chart list HERE. You need "follow" only once but vote can be done everyday, so whenever you have time, please vote for me, thanks! If you're not StockCharts member, you can also help boosting my rank by clicking the link once everyday.
- Please, again, all my calls in the daily live update is for intra-day only, they're absolutely invalid when the closing bell rings. If you're interested in the forecast for days and weeks, Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
- Personal attack on any board members won't be tolerated. Please limit your topic to trade related only.
- Please no direct link to your personal web site or blog. You must post rich contents here. You can, however, put link to your personal web site or blog as your signature.
- I'm very busy during the trading hour, so your question posted on board might not be answered. For a guaranteed answer to your question please send email to [email protected].
===============================================================================================================================
I'm sure it can go either up or down or flat here, cannot be wrong
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 9:29 am
by BullBear52x
Open above 61.8%, net longs overnight. it's Friday, Quick Ins/Outs.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 9:36 am
by JFR
SPY daily
At an all-time high.
But it needs a breakout.
My internet security is fighting me. Avast has stopped me on my desktop from accessing this site. This post is from a tablet. Gawd.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 9:41 am
by JFR
SPY hourly
2 stair steps up. 1 step down.
At key resistance.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 9:41 am
by BullBear52x
I am expecting a pull back, intraday will buy dips but trust market Not. very overbought.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 9:52 am
by JFR
ES 5 minutes.
Aiyahhh. Down. Beneath the Pivot.
No longs for me today, methinks. Or maybe I just go back to sleep. Ha ha.
I like short sales also, but I am geared up for longs at this time.
Avast let me in here this time. WTF. Gawd.
Is that the token effort of the bears today? Any more?
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 9:54 am
by BullBear52x
Overnight inventory got wiped out. Intraday: new swing high, it is bullish bias, but if we tank under 38.2% it will be a sell day for me.

Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 10:02 am
by Cobra
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 10:26 am
by BullBear52x
Second days of negative AD. people are worried a little here.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 11:08 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
Building out a normal distribution as we stay in this multi-day range.
The inflation numbers were supposed to seal the deal for rate cuts starting in September. That is not happening, so market needs a new story to tell at the cocktail parties in the Hampton's. I guess we will find out next week if the new story is as good as the one that got us to these levels.
Elliott Wave counters are all pretty much waiting for the last up move. Their bottom line is a 5% or more correction coming our way, just no certainty of when. I find the counting to be beyond my ability at this time. This range is very complex!
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 11:19 am
by BullBear52x
Swing setup: New buy, new box. bears will have no chance for a trend change until this low is taken out.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 11:51 am
by BullBear52x
Buy failed, now the Bears can challenge all the rips intraday.

Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 12:11 pm
by Cobra
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 12:45 pm
by BullBear52x
Good called, Cobra. now I can see a HL intraday. man...bears just can't do the damage.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 12:59 pm
by Cobra
Maybe the low was in. Sometimes there might be a revisit of the day low to make a higher low.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 1:04 pm
by BullBear52x
Stick to the process.

Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 2:18 pm
by BullBear52x
That's all she wrote today. settle in no man's land for the weekend. Peace!
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 2:22 pm
by BullBear52x
A close below 38.2% will be a bearish piercing candle. bulls will not allow that or will they?. Trade well. have a good one.
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 2:58 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
I cleaned up the ADX by going to 34 n and the replacement for DI =- by going to 21n. Now it seems to do a better job showing rotations on the standard 2,000 tick ES chart.
Market is probably pinned by the trading houses due to opex today. Thinking the last 30 minutes will give us a hint as to where we will be going next week. With the action this week it should be easy for the opinion writers to get out a newsletter. Ha Ha
Re: 08/15/2025 Live Update
Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2025 3:33 pm
by Cobra