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01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 9:12 am
by Cobra
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Generally the rebound (the last 5 bars) should be sold.

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Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 10:46 am
by BullBear52x
Easy start of the day. swing setup: new buy, new box. make or break. first thing first.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 11:06 am
by Cobra

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 11:24 am
by BullBear52x
Intraday: inside day, anything goes, gap filled, this could be top good bye kiss, if so we should pull back to where we start. anyhow, choppy Monday is to be expected.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 11:28 am
by Cobra
Cup with handle, bias is up.

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Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 11:38 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_01_12 (7_31_17 AM).png
Stalled at 7,000 again.

I was not happy with my charts so I added Perry Kaufman's Efficiency ratio down at the bottom. This is the Lizard Trading version and Fat Tails added the ability to have it color price bars. I decided to gray out bars when it was showing chop. So a strong hint to "Sit on Hands".

I also dropped the linear regression lines and went to the FAMA Adjustable Moving Average. It does a better job of staying above or below price and I did not use the normal paring of the MAMA average because the standard 21n EMA is very similar so I have stayed with it.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 12:18 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_01_12 (8_17_11 AM).png
Six points short. Need a third push.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 12:22 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (10000 Tick) 2026_01_12 (8_21_16 AM).png
The five times slower version with volume helps to explain the straight up and down moves.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 12:33 pm
by Cobra
The pullback probably will be bought

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Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 1:10 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_01_12 (9_06_28 AM).png
45 minutes of nothing. The tick bars have gone from 30 seconds to 2 minutes while the ATR has trended water. Very much a watching paint dry move so far. Tomorrow we get CPI then Wednesday PPI that could break things loose.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 1:12 pm
by Cobra

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 2:52 pm
by BullBear52x
Melt up, don't short a dull market they said. LOL

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 2:53 pm
by Cobra
Testing the all time high, let's see whether bears can make a double top. I think maybe bias is up.

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Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 3:09 pm
by BullBear52x
Vix were up all morning, but not much. no fear no bear. hanging on the border line. a lot of overlapping, so, the push up is not impressive but fear and rotation around.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 3:31 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_01_12 (11_27_40 AM).png
May not be large enough for Cobra standards but I did get the third move up, finally.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 4:21 pm
by Cobra
Generally the pullback should be bought. However it's near the close and the recent trend has been selling into the close.

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Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 4:22 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_01_12 (12_20_44 PM).png
I am counting four similar moves. No idea what it means but hey, slow day, what can I say.

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 4:30 pm
by Cobra

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 4:51 pm
by Cobra

Re: 01/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2026 4:52 pm
by Cobra
Well, guess that's it for today. Here's what Tuesday tomorrow looks like: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/ ... /533449374

Thank you guys, I'll see you in another thread soon.

Before the close, please take a little time to vote for me, thanks: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/ ... /533449374