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01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 9:07 am
by Cobra
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Lower high (red arrow) or not, wait and see.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 10:34 am
by BullBear52x
Inside day, anything goes....bullish bias above 61.8%
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 10:41 am
by BullBear52x
same playbook, different day.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 10:44 am
by BullBear52x
/ES losing 7000
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:02 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
Drinking out of a fire hose this morning. 5 point drops on 30 second bars counts as big volatility.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:03 am
by BullBear52x
VPOC 6944 /ES
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:04 am
by Cobra
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:05 am
by Cobra
This bear shall have legs.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:06 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
Not there yet to call it the big top. Making the right moves to support that call. Waiting for magic Monday and Turn around Tuesday. Or better yet NVIDIA earnings call because there is supposed to be a test of the high from below. What was named as the sucker rally in the classic model.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:17 am
by BullBear52x
lets see if we can bottom here at 40 ish. today
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:18 am
by BullBear52x
Level to watch short term.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:20 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
From twitter (Julie Wade) market dropped out of the normal volatility range forcing options dealers to hedge their book. Thus the fast drop to a deep enough liquidity pool. Her volatility and options tracking models DO NOT explain who was doing the selling of underlying that overcame dealers. I am confident that the chattering class will provide a theory.

Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 11:43 am
by BullBear52x
Melt down, don't catch a falling knife, they said.

Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 12:02 pm
by BullBear52x
Round number 6900 /ES. it's nothing 100 points among friends.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 12:09 pm
by BullBear52x
Next rest stop. market is so one sided, up/down like there's no tomorrow.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 12:16 pm
by Cobra
The rebound probably will be sold. Maybe around EMA20?
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 12:17 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 12:19 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 12:31 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
5000 tick is a one minute bar today. Looking like the impulse is over. If that was the top then this would be a one and we are working on the two so Apple 'could' trigger a three down for a Friday sell off. Or not.
Re: 01/29/2026 Live Update
Posted: Thu Jan 29, 2026 1:10 pm
by BullBear52x

Sky is falling.

Crashing
Gold, Silver, NVDA all down, oh my god!
