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02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 9:12 am
by Cobra
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It's a diamond top which could go either up or down from here :lol:

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Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 11:04 am
by Cobra

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 11:06 am
by Cobra
It's a morning hourly filled black bar

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Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 11:49 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (6000 Tick) 2026_02_12 (7_47_08 AM).png
Well we hit the 75% retrace and turned south. Apparently a gap up open did not draw sufficient buying.

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 11:59 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (15 Minute) 2026_02_12 (7_57_36 AM).png
There is an open gap much lower.

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 12:02 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
X post from Julie Wade saying European institutional selling is behind the fall. They are unwinding there large high beta positions in US based companies.

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 12:14 pm
by Cobra
Very strong selling, this bear shall have legs.

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Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 12:59 pm
by Cobra

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 1:21 pm
by Cobra
Descending triangle, breakdown is more likely.

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Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 1:52 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (15 Minute) 2026_02_12 (9_45_38 AM).png
15 minute cash hours. Draw your own conclusions.

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 1:58 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (6000 Tick) 2026_02_12 (9_53_18 AM).png
6000 tick showing a low volume node supporting Cobra's call for another drop.I am looking at last Friday. After that the road to 6,800 won't be easy. Assuming Julie Wade is correct and this was Danish and other sovereign wealth funds getting out of mag 7 I have zero knowledge of a source to estimate if they are done. This is the second time in a couple of weeks where they are being blamed. But if we drop enough Goldman was warning that the CTA's will hit automatic sell levels and dump yet more billions.

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 2:45 pm
by Cobra
Strong rebound but it's just the very first step toward a bottom.

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Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 4:35 pm
by Cobra

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 4:37 pm
by Cobra
Now let's see whether bulls can make a double bottom here.

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Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 4:37 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 03-26 (6000 Tick) 2026_02_12 (12_34_42 PM).png
Filling in the hollow part of the profile. Need to see this bottom before it drops through 6850 because that looks like a down elevator below it. :o

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 4:47 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
Setting up to close on the day's low. Really need an after hours bounce!

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 4:52 pm
by Cobra

Re: 02/12/2026 Live Update

Posted: Thu Feb 12, 2026 4:53 pm
by Cobra
Well, guess that's it for today. Here's what Friday tomorrow looks like: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/ ... /533449397

Thank you guys, I'll see you in another thread soon.

Before the close, please take a little time to vote for me, thanks: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/ ... /533449397