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11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 9:12 pm
by Cobra
Algo chart from stocktiming which in my opinion is the best chart stocktiming provides. So far no positive divergence, so the chart argues the selling isn't over yet. It's very oversold now, so a short-term rebound definitely is due.
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 9:15 pm
by Cobra
Smart money covered a lot so this chart serves no value for now.
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 9:16 pm
by Cobra
AAII and II.
Retailers are little bit pessimistic now. Not extreme enough though.
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 9:17 pm
by Cobra
Rosy picture from Bespoke.
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 10:18 pm
by bullbear12
[img][img][/img][/img]
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 10:21 pm
by bullbear12
The 10 min IWM is not only leading, but far above where the last cycle ended October 17/18th and where the new one began around Oct. 23
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 9:38 am
by Royal Flush
Cobra wrote:Algo chart from stocktiming which in my opinion is the best chart stocktiming provides. So far no positive divergence, so the chart argues the selling isn't over yet. It's very oversold now, so a short-term rebound definitely is due.
Great chart thanks Cobra. I find it is important to review my trades in order to improve. Fridays low found support (point 3) at 2 TLs (1 & 2) on my tick chart. Furthermore the MFI indicator had divergence at that point. Although it is difficult to see on this chart there was a triangle buy signal at the low of the reversal bar. I like to have at least 2 reasons to enter a trade but 4 reasons to go long means double up .
I would like to congratulate in daytradingES's Thurday close Best Guess range of 1342 to 1359.25, well done and please keep up the great work

Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 10:07 am
by uempel
My grids and ellipses on BPNYA and BPSPX suggest that the low ain't in yet

Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 10:53 am
by Al_Dente
The outer red band represents 3 standard deviations above/below the 50ma on SPX
SPX has spent the last 8 trading days in that red zone, including yesterday.
That is unusual, and dangerous.
SPX needs to bounce out of there… and quick…. then the correction might be analogous to May’s correction: low selling volume, no wash-out climax,
lower low bottom, then a little retest … essentially a wussie correction, just like May’s…
The more time SPX spends in the 3 std-dev red zone, the greater the risk of a crash-ette more like Aug 2011.
IMHO
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 11:04 am
by uempel
Al_Dente wrote:The outer red band represents 3 standard deviations above/below the 50ma on SPX
SPX has spent the last 8 trading days in that red zone, including yesterday.
That is unusual, and dangerous.
SPX needs to bounce out of there… and quick…. then the correction might be analogous to May’s correction: low selling volume, no wash-out climax,
lower low bottom, then a little retest … essentially a wussie correction, just like May’s…
The more time SPX spends in the 3 std-dev red zone, the greater the risk of a crash-ette more like Aug 2011.
IMHO
1117wkndstddev.png
Great chart Al. But may I remind you that it's Saturday, we've got a day off today. I'll be in the "Totò Bar" at 6 pm, TraderGirl will be there, you coming too

Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 11:29 am
by Al_Dente
uempel wrote:Al_Dente wrote:The outer red band represents ...bla bla...
Great chart Al. But may I remind you that it's Saturday, we've got a day off today. I'll be in the "Totò Bar" at 6 pm, TraderGirl will be there, you coming too

LUKE, I AM YOUR FATHER… COME TO THE DARK SIDE…
Gotta go. I’ll see u tomorrow…
Until then I leave you with Lightnin´Hopkins
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3SXKLas ... re=related
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 12:55 pm
by BullBear52x
Are we there yet? are we there yet?
picture perfect is NO, my MO buy is confirmed and Bull bars are confirmed so for counter trenders this is a hammer time.
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 1:46 pm
by Cobra
Summary of this week's stock picks. It's a fantastic week for short.
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=730&p=105284#p105284
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 1:50 pm
by xfradnex
World Elders 13 of 15 Red. Japan Blue. World volume moving up on Market price up, but not exhaustion = more down.
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 2:25 pm
by Cobra
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 2:29 pm
by KeiZai
I am sharing the same idea as everyone here, but I am ready also for alternative as market like to leave people waiting for Godot
Countertrend rally shown in yellow, very unlikely but not impossible alternative in blue
Russell
Short-term
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 3:00 pm
by KeiZai
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 3:55 pm
by pezhead9000
bullbear12 wrote:The 10 min IWM is not only leading, but far above where the last cycle ended October 17/18th and where the new one began around Oct. 23
bullbear12 - is that from Trade Guild?
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 4:02 pm
by pezhead9000
FWIW: WSJ Money Flow - Block flow was negative. Not sure if this has much meaning.
Re: 11/17/2012 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 4:07 pm
by pezhead9000
WSJ Sell on Strength - Apple. What does this mean? anything?