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07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 8:12 am
by Cobra
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This bear shall have legs.

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Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 9:48 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 09-26 (6000 Tick) 2026_07_17 (9_44_15 AM).png
Well, that escalated quickly!

Seriously though, that drop left a bunch of low volume nodes so a bit of good news could run this back up fast.

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 10:02 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 09-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_07_17 (9_57_41 AM).png
Climbing at a very high rate, almost hitting the 3 sigma line on VWAP . A gift for those who buy dips.

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 10:06 am
by Cobra

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 10:07 am
by Cobra
It's a morning hourly hollow red

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Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 10:26 am
by Cobra
EMA20 now is the bear's last chance for another leg down.

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Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 11:10 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 09-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_07_17 (11_03_56 AM).png
Flat line with a bounce into the close, or test the morning lows?

If we go into the weekend with a big gap down will the 401 K crowd buy the dip on Monday morning?

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 11:31 am
by Trades w 2 Cats
ES 09-26 (2000 Tick) 2026_07_17 (11_28_16 AM).png
Very much like yesterday at this time (before lunch) with VWAP and VPOC sitting on each other and price doing a snake dance on top of it. No idea if we get a break down like yesterday, or a break out.

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 11:59 am
by Cobra
Possible higher low (green arrow), need decisively break the blue line to confirm.

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Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 12:16 pm
by Cobra

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 12:54 pm
by Cobra
The 3rd test of the blue line, breakout should be more likely.

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Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 2:15 pm
by JFR
edited

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 3:42 pm
by Cobra

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 3:43 pm
by Trades w 2 Cats
^SP500 (15 Minute) 2026_07_17 (3_38_25 PM).png
15 minute cash index is looking like Monday will be decision time. We have a very real looking double top. We have now tested downside support three times, so you would expect something. My big issue is anybody looking at the daily after today will see a gap down open turning into a gravestone doji at that lower support.

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 3:52 pm
by Cobra

Re: 07/17/2026 Live Update

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2026 3:53 pm
by Cobra
Well, guess that's it for today. Here's what Monday looks like: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/ ... /533449377

Thank you guys, I'll see you in another thread soon.

Before the close, please take a little time to vote for me, thanks: https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/ ... /533449377