Daniel-David wrote:KRE, key sector ETF, at a high for the month of June.
What can this mean?
I think the theory is basically this:
that they raise their margins faster than rates rise, assuming they can hedge their loan portfolios, so a temporary rising rate environment is very good for them...they had to compete with everyone else at bone-thin spreads, now they will all widen their spreads much more than rates go up...
<;)
"It requires, obviously, some luck and some good policy."
There have to be a bunch of buy stops in the 159.59-160 area. If the bulls can close this in the 158-159 area it could get really ugly for bears on a gap up open tomorrow.
"I think the theory is basically this: ....they had to compete with everyone else at bone-thin spreads, now they will all widen their spreads much more than rates go up..."
-Quite probably so. Note how $FVX (5yr Treasury yield) has been leading KRE upward. A strong breakout to june highs several days ago, now KRE follows...
volume surge, overshot, let's see any pullback here first. I'm neutral.
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