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by mattchessen
Wed May 06, 2020 9:50 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 05/06/2020 Live Update
Replies: 66
Views: 17534

Re: 05/06/2020 Live Update

BullBear52x wrote:a trade below /ES 65, bears will have a home run.
You looking at orderflow? TicTok agrees, sort of:
https://twitter.com/TicTocTick/status/1 ... 34304?s=20
5/6 plan:

1. Look for shorts if open below 2865, targets 2796

2. Look for 2903 if open above 2865

13 hours to open and now 2855
by mattchessen
Fri Mar 20, 2020 10:06 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/20/2020 Live Update
Replies: 86
Views: 25601

Re: 03/20/2020 Live Update

BTW does anyone buy into this theory that due to quad witching there will be a huge decline in gamma, and therefore volatility, so option prices may plunge next week even if price is flat? https://spotgamma.com/nomuras-pre-opex-market-view/ Zero Hedge and others have also discussed https://www.zeroh...
by mattchessen
Fri Mar 20, 2020 9:53 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/20/2020 Live Update
Replies: 86
Views: 25601

Re: 03/20/2020 Live Update

brucekeller wrote:I would think the lows were temporarily reached because of the Fed's PDCF starting last night, but it doesn't get full no-liquidity-requirements power until the 26th, so maybe another test of the low before then.
Bruce- would you mind explaining this for us non-finance types? Thank you in advance!
by mattchessen
Thu Mar 19, 2020 9:58 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/19/2020 Live Update
Replies: 102
Views: 15093

Re: 03/19/2020 Live Update

jademann wrote:I went 100% long UPRO based on this chart. :)

http://schrts.co/sIDXQyRx
What's that mean to you?
by mattchessen
Wed Mar 18, 2020 11:56 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/18/2020 Live Update
Replies: 96
Views: 20849

Re: 03/18/2020 Live Update

Does anyone have good recommendations for how to put on new shorts to take advantage of further declines? I've had SPXU for a month or so, and I've been buying SPY puts but they're super expensive now. I've started buying puts on individual bank stocks. Any other ideas? What's going to collapse if w...
by mattchessen
Wed Mar 18, 2020 9:43 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/18/2020 Live Update
Replies: 96
Views: 20849

Re: 03/18/2020 Live Update

Everyone should read this report. It's the one that Boris Johnston and Trump were briefed on over the weekend. Caused the UK to do a 180 on their virus policy. If you believe the scenarios (and I do) we're facing 2-3 month lockdowns, followed by periods of lifting, outbreaks and more lockdowns for 1...
by mattchessen
Mon Mar 16, 2020 2:22 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/16/2020 Live Update
Replies: 67
Views: 13441

Re: 03/16/2020 Live Update

We're all doomed.. All over a virus that has 96% recovery rate.[/quote] That's not the issue. The issue is the high % of critical care cases that are going to overwhelm the health care system. That in turn drives the fatality rate up because people are going to be left in hospital hallways to die, o...
by mattchessen
Mon Mar 16, 2020 2:18 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/16/2020 Live Update
Replies: 67
Views: 13441

Re: 03/16/2020 Live Update

Heck- those bank targets are brutal. Are they your own calculations? C under $5??? Wow. What's your timeframe?
by mattchessen
Mon Mar 16, 2020 9:41 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/16/2020 Live Update
Replies: 67
Views: 13441

Re: 03/16/2020 Live Update

Lots of chatter on twitter about a market closure. Any opinions? Option holders would seem to be screwed. Maybe leveraged ETFs also
by mattchessen
Thu Mar 12, 2020 11:43 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/12/2020 Live Update
Replies: 70
Views: 12809

Re: 03/12/2020 Live Update

Al dente- what do you make on that short term bond action. Bad print?
by mattchessen
Fri Mar 06, 2020 1:13 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/06/2020 Live Update
Replies: 85
Views: 19162

Re: 03/06/2020 Live Update

Corona market mass hysteria ? First case reported 1 Dec 2019, 96 days ago, enough time for COVID-19 to go around world on airlines unprotected until 31 Jan 2020 600,000 people a year die of seasonal flu globally and nobody says boo 3,383 COVID-19 global deaths, mostly immune impaired, prior heart a...
by mattchessen
Fri Mar 06, 2020 12:50 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 03/06/2020 Live Update
Replies: 85
Views: 19162

Re: 03/06/2020 Live Update

I'm a total lurker but I want to say thank you for all your analysis! I also want to share this report which you should read if you want to understand the full risk to the economy and our public safety from the virus. Absent a robust response, we are going to have a lot of dead people and a tanked e...
by mattchessen
Fri Feb 28, 2020 3:47 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 02/28/2020 Live Update
Replies: 108
Views: 45455

Re: 02/28/2020 Live Update

BB25-How the heck did you know it would bounce off 80
by mattchessen
Thu Apr 18, 2013 2:15 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 04/18/2013 Live Update
Replies: 238
Views: 132071

Re: 04/18/2013 Live Update

Anyone have thoughts on GOOG? Pretty serious negative divergences showing up on daily and weekly and that chart looks a lot like Apple from last fall. Looks like a short to me.
Google weekly.png