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by AndrasGy
Sun Feb 14, 2016 4:53 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 02/13/2016 Weekend Update
Replies: 78
Views: 15521

Re: 02/13/2016 Weekend Update

Long patterns


Daily

Weekly

Long term
by AndrasGy
Sat Jan 09, 2016 8:23 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update
Replies: 42
Views: 15035

Re: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update

3DM wrote:hi folks,

is there an issue with some pics not being clickable, and being cut off at right side. Andasgy is the pic ending at Feb '13. and TSF is the pic ending at 3/3/14. other pics fine but these cant click these to expand. trying with two browsers. thanks
Right click on the pic -> View image
by AndrasGy
Sat Jan 09, 2016 1:52 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update
Replies: 42
Views: 15035

Re: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update

Rate of change -7% January open 1% less than December close. In the history of SPY 8 similar occurrences when a month opened 1% below previous month's close (and prev months close down): 6 closed above open 2 closed below open, but both of them rallied huge next month Rally in next month, you mean ...
by AndrasGy
Fri Jan 08, 2016 8:28 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update
Replies: 42
Views: 15035

Re: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update

Rate of change -7%

January open 1% less than December close.
In the history of SPY 8 similar occurrences when a month opened 1% below previous month's close (and prev months close down):
6 closed above open
2 closed below open, but both of them rallied huge next month
by AndrasGy
Fri Jan 08, 2016 6:23 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update
Replies: 42
Views: 15035

Re: 01/09/2016 Weekend Update

Nasdaq McClellan, click on the image: Image

Sentiment info, Markets in turmoil

RSI(14) < 30, very rare in January
by AndrasGy
Sat Dec 19, 2015 1:04 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 12/19/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 28
Views: 6274

Re: 12/19/2015 Weekend Update

Last week's seasonal setup with 2.8% profit target played out on FED day. We may reenter long again. Buying 17th close (or next Monday if weekend): https://lustaport.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/spy17.png Or buy gap down (minimum 0.3%), close < open, December, 2.5% profit target: https://lustaport.f...
by AndrasGy
Sun Dec 13, 2015 11:23 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 12/12/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 27
Views: 6679

Re: 12/12/2015 Weekend Update

Next week we enter a quite bullish period, current setup seems almost perfect to buy : https://lustaport.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/decpul.png NYMO below 80: https://lustaport.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/nymo80.png December seasonality: https://lustaport.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/decses.png Decem...
by AndrasGy
Mon Dec 07, 2015 1:44 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 12/07/2015 Live Update
Replies: 196
Views: 27007

Re: 12/07/2015 Live Update

ALdaytrade wrote:What a weird day following the charts! I have no idea what is going on!
We will take out Friday's open. It is quite typical:
viewtopic.php?f=2&t=1876&start=20#p208379
by AndrasGy
Mon Dec 07, 2015 12:38 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 12/05/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 26
Views: 13061

Re: 12/05/2015 Weekend Update

Hi Nikman, My conclusion from the table, that Thursday-Friday sandwich price action was bearish. Probably we will take out at least Friday's open (SPY:206) next week. And when you short the market, you may use previous high as stop loss (SPY: 212). Please note also that these short trades typically ...
by AndrasGy
Sun Dec 06, 2015 1:35 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 12/05/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 26
Views: 13061

Re: 12/05/2015 Weekend Update

Friday :

Yesterday close down more than -1.3%, today close up more than +1.3%, close > open, close > highest close*0.93:
buy on close, max loss today open, profit target previous high
Image
by AndrasGy
Sat Nov 21, 2015 6:34 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 11/21/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 15
Views: 4147

Re: 11/21/2015 Weekend Update

Last week crushed any bear dreams for 2015.

In the coming weeks I prefer bull case:

- NYMO spike below -60 was very good entry point in recent years
- Buy in November sell in December
- RSI(3) above 30 for 25 days
by AndrasGy
Sun Nov 15, 2015 4:25 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 11/14/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 25
Views: 10760

Re: 11/14/2015 Weekend Update

nikman wrote:
AndrasGy wrote:RSI(3) above 30 for 25 days:
Image
What is MAE?

Sent from my SM-G920T using Tapatalk

Maximum Adverse Excursion
by AndrasGy
Sun Nov 15, 2015 1:40 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 11/14/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 25
Views: 10760

Re: 11/14/2015 Weekend Update

RSI(3) above 30 for 25 days:
Image
by AndrasGy
Sat Nov 14, 2015 7:32 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 11/14/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 25
Views: 10760

Re: 11/14/2015 Weekend Update

Finally we got some bear movement, I posted about in the recent weeks. I expect a bear/bull war in the next two weeks and rally into the beginning of December. Bull case: - NYMO spike below -60 was very good entry point in recent years - Buy in November sell in December Bear case: - possible weekly ...
by AndrasGy
Sat Nov 07, 2015 12:36 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 11/07/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 19
Views: 4757

Re: 11/07/2015 Weekend Update

In October or November we got regularly an NYMO spike below -60 which was an excellent entry in the recent years:
http://schrts.co/kt2H4j
http://schrts.co/Pjrym7
http://schrts.co/pOf5IO
http://schrts.co/sCXF1W
http://schrts.co/ulAF1o
by AndrasGy
Sat Oct 31, 2015 6:53 pm
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/31/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 28
Views: 8872

Re: 10/31/2015 Weekend Update

All stat valid from previous week This week 1. Continuous week breadth 2. Typical trading pattern after huge up October 3. Volatility fund flow forecast VIX spike 4. Ratio Between Credit Suisse High Yield Index And VIX > 2 S.D. ->>>> multi month struggle/bear 5. Daily time frame: RSI(3) above 30 for...
by AndrasGy
Sat Oct 24, 2015 7:29 am
Forum: Traders Lounge
Topic: 10/24/2015 Weekend Update
Replies: 27
Views: 7882

Re: 10/24/2015 Weekend Update

Bear case: 1. Breadth not impressive Advancing issues http://schrts.co/jxs1Ps Total advance/decline and SP500 http://schrts.co/lcIzkD 2. First close above 200ma, after 7% drop (relative to ma200) https://lustaport.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/elso.png 3. Sentiment (Trader) There have been five other ...