This is the way I look at it ; the smart money longs (GS, JPM, etc) from 4 weeks ago, want to sell their longs, and they don't want to do it with a trailing stop, so as to maximize their profit. So they periodically sell at a perceived top (daily swing top) and play the late buyers like a fish, and each time the buyers come in, sell a little more. When that game gets long in the tooth, they throw their weight around, because they can (drive significant % of volume) and they run the short stops. That way their remaining longs are sold to someone who really doesn't want to being holding a long either, but the shorts got ahead of themselves, through their analysis, and prudently shorted an overvalued stock, and prudently put in a stop. And, the late buyers think there is a breakout to ungodly new highs. Now this can go on for quite some time until all available "dumb" buyers have been exhausted, and the "dumb" shorts have wised up, then the smart money proceeds to sell off the rest their swing longs, the market dives, and they look for a discounted buying opportunity later.
Now, I don't know for sure, but I'm looking for a swing top between now and the end of next week, between the current price point, and maybe 1880 on SPX (an educated guess). 1858.7 may already be that high, I don't know. We got stopped at the neckline of the little inverse cup and handle from 2/24, and that may be it (but probably not, there are more stops above there

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Jack be quick, Jack be nimble (It may go to March expiry, I don't know, I don't run the show)
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS