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08/12/2019 Live Update

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Al_Dente
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

"Risk Ratios" are all still red
812risk ratios.png
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Cobra
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

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BullBear52x
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

I got a feeling we may closed higher today. I am buying on the north bound train now.
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Al_Dente
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

SPLV is the S%P 500 Low Volatility ETF
SPLV holds 101 stocks, none are weighted more than 1.26% so it’s pretty evenly weighted.
Sector weight (as of August 2019) is: Utilities 24%, Financials 20%, Real Estate 20%, Staples 10%, Industrials 6%, Technology 5%, Discretionary 5%.
80% are large cap, 20% are mid cap.

In the charts from the December low, see the bottom panel: SPX (purple) is up 23%, while SPLV (low volatility, green)
is currently the best performer here, up 27% :o :o , and the high volatility (SPHB, high betas, pink) is up 22.9%.
812splv.png.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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MrMiyagi
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Post by MrMiyagi »

BullBear52x wrote:I got a feeling we may closed higher today. I am buying on the north bound train now.
Be careful, Down:Up volume ratio is 4.50:1. Pressure to the downside so far.
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Al_Dente
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

see EWH
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MrMiyagi
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Post by MrMiyagi »

Down:Up volume ratio now above 5:1.

So far Bears have had many opportunities to crush this, at a point the PPT will just smack them out of the way if they can't finish what they started.
spy
spy
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BullBear52x
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

I tried to be bullish but not with this chart, if 5 DMA failed watch out below.
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BullBear52x
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

I am selling
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Cobra
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

my guess is 51% chances of reversal up from around here (could be a fake breakout first). let's see.
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BullBear52x
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

82ish.
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BullBear52x
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Something is not right on either side. I am sitting out .
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BullBear52x
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

3 sells with 3 reversals

Not a range day but no selling hard either. I am confused. I need a walk. later....
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JFR
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by JFR »

Daily, 15 min, 5 min charts all trend down, with some mixed signals. Flattening. There is always money just looking for any excuse to buy. Very dangerous market. Got some longer term stuff running. No time for scalping today.

Back later ...

2019-08-12_1114.png
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Al_Dente
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

VIX is back above 20
HOD
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Cobra
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

volume surge, so might be a rebound here first but this bear shall have legs.
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Daniel
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Daniel »

SPY over 289 would be an interesting long, based on a 15min chart (above the 20ema plus other triggers)...
Daniel
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by Daniel »

aapl struggling to hold above 200/sh.
ccash04
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by ccash04 »

Still have not seen it puke yet, think market can still be sold just have to be able to withstand some minor bounces.
ccash04
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Re: 08/12/2019 Live Update

Post by ccash04 »

Ultimate Safehaven continues to be BYND which is still solidly green.
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