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03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Fri Mar 26, 2021 5:48 pm
by Cobra
Up 1 week, 75% chances higher high ahead the next week, so bulls should be fine.

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Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Fri Mar 26, 2021 10:00 pm
by te_fern
Cobra, Friday's live update seems like it wasn't closed. It just stops about 2:30 or so...

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sat Mar 27, 2021 12:47 pm
by Al_Dente
(Bloomberg) -- "Goldman Sachs Group Inc. liquidated $10.5 billion worth of stocks in block trades on Friday"
https://www.reuters.com/article/goldman ... SL4N2LP05Z

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sat Mar 27, 2021 2:13 pm
by Cobra
te_fern wrote:Cobra, Friday's live update seems like it wasn't closed. It just stops about 2:30 or so...


I posted into a wrong thread.

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sat Mar 27, 2021 2:18 pm
by Cobra
$AAII Bull - $AAII Bear shows retailers are getting more bullish. Maybe a little too much at the current stage?

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Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sat Mar 27, 2021 4:03 pm
by Al_Dente
[source: the Najarians]
327 option volume.png.jpg
327 option volume.png.jpg (50.64 KiB) Viewed 1003 times

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sat Mar 27, 2021 4:10 pm
by Al_Dente
3/25/21: Fed to lift bank restrictions on dividends, buybacks by June ... That will occur after the June stress tests, if the banks show they can maintain sufficient capital.... Last week the Fed told banks that capital level requirements eased during the pandemic would return to normal at the end of this month.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/fed ... e-buybacks

Daily chart, percentage

BANKS 327.png.jpg

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sat Mar 27, 2021 9:55 pm
by te_fern
Pasta Boss, you posted a graph that showed a down P-bar during off hours this past week. How close did we come to it before we rallied?

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sun Mar 28, 2021 12:01 am
by Al_Dente
te_fern wrote:Pasta Boss, you posted a graph that showed a down P-bar during off hours this past week. How close did we come to it before we rallied?

as posted 3/22
download/file.php?id=132520&mode=view

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sun Mar 28, 2021 11:15 am
by Al_Dente
Container Shipping Costs Soar From $1500 to $9000 Due to Suez Canal Blockage.
Re-routing around South Africa takes an extra 10 days of travel.
Oil prices have already risen by 6% since the ship stranded. The share prices of shipping companies has fallen.

Back in the day, this is what Richard Russell used to measure inflation: $CRB:$TYX

https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859

INFLATION 328.png.jpg

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sun Mar 28, 2021 12:20 pm
by Al_Dente
RELATIVE STRENGTH, one week
328rel str.png.jpg

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sun Mar 28, 2021 1:59 pm
by JFR
Sectors % up one month. Retail top. Communications bottom.


Screenshot_20210328_105520.jpg

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sun Mar 28, 2021 5:16 pm
by Al_Dente
This is shaking the markets
[Recall Friday when we said “Something is wrong here” and described forced liquidations.]
Turns out it was “Archegos” which is now dead: as the FT reports, "the firm’s website is no longer available and the company did not return multiple requests for comment. The fund’s head trader in New York hung up the phone when contacted by the Financial Times."
Question is: Is the fire sale over??
As Bloomberg writes this morning [Sunday], global traders are bracing for what’s shaping up to be
"one of the most anticipated opens for U.S. equities in months" following an extraordinary $20 billion wave of block trades Friday that rattled investors worldwide.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trade ... to+zero%29

Re: 03/27/2021 Weekend Update

PostPosted: Sun Mar 28, 2021 11:25 pm
by Al_Dente
holy crap
read this
"The news, incomplete as it may be, was enough to send Nomura stock crashing 15%, wiping out all March gains, and the biggest one day drop in a decade."
"Morgan Stanley was shopping 45 million shares of ViacomCBS on Sunday
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/arche ... to+zero%29