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The initial breakdown below blue line was bought, but the rebound for now is not strong enough so be careful, if test the blue line again, the breakdown this time most likely would be for real.
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The market is still fearful right near all time highs. Today might not go the bulls way, but let's put it this way, the new year could bring in a flood of pent up demand for shares, as it has 5 out of the last 6 years to the tune of 1% or more on 4 occasions.
JNUG rallied hard yesterday but failed to close above the 20 ma which has moved to 25.76. It could go today. It did so this time last year and mounted a huge rally. However, I'm not accumulating yet.
If XLE breaks back into the "bear trap" zone again, the bear trap might have been the real breakdown and we're heading down to re-test or make another lower low. If that happens, I might take PSX calls off temporarily till it works itself out. We're not there yet.
SPX .. are we going to party like it's 1999?… VIX breaks… look for a sharp pop.. 5m candles on SPX long wicks to the upside… not terribly bullish atm.. morning gap fill first? VIX new highs.. SPX not new lows.. minor invs H&S too.. either way a break of the orange triangle.. I'd expect a sharp move…
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I have posted the full info on the New Year's holiday turning point - though right now, I do not see any edge.... one could materialize later today or in the next few days, so one should at least be aware of what has occurred historically.