02/20/2016 Weekend Update

[daytradingES]

Here (next post) is the text of an astrology email. - which is free.

1. My thought on testing astro for timings is to look at other indications and see if there is a match
2. make note of the matches
3. see what happened

So this is a filtering approach as there are tons of aspects, conjunctions, parallels etc, etc. (Don't worry about the "meanings" the person attributes -astrological meanings were mainly for people.


1. So in this weekend there are 2 posts about next weekend
one on the china meeting - accord
and the other on worst days to hold

Will lighten up by end of next week..worst days to buy hold...history

2. then you would have your charts - I see a topping action Thurs o.n session 1933 lower sideways on Thursday 1921.75 and then lower again on Friday 1916

3. Be careful during the next weekend as the Sun will make a conjunction with Neptune on Sunday the 28th at 3:47 pm GMT, There will be a parallel between Venus and Mars on Thursday the 25th of February at 8:19 pm GMT

[daytradingES]

Lunarium Newsletter #33
February 21, 2016

The Next Two Weeks In The Sky

I started to actively work on The Lunar Lore video course, which I suggested to you in one of the previous issues of this newsletter — and the response I received was very positive. The course emerges as an unusual blend of folklore, science and astrological tradition, and in a few weeks time I hope to be able to offer you a detailed outline.

However, to be able to work on the new course, I will have to use some of the time I spend on this newsletter. Therefore, from now on Lunarium Newsletter will be sent to its subscribers twice a month rather than weekly. It will then cover the important celestial events for the two coming weeks. Today, let’s have a look at what’s going to happen in the sky from the 22nd of February to the 6th of March. I will concentrate on the bigger events; as for the ongoing daily changes, please refer to the Universal Lunar Calendar, and the Lunar Gardening Calendar.

There will be a parallel between Venus and Mars on Thursday the 25th of February at 8:19 pm GMT. Parallel is an aspect that is ignored by many, if not most astrologers these days, but in the traditional astrology it was considered to be at least as strong as conjunction, and in addition it acts longer. So there should be a noticeable blend of Venus and Mars energy, which means heightened romantic feelings and increased sexual energy, during the most part of the next week, with culmination on Thursday.

For the week after that, we have a similar traditional aspect, and also culminating on Thursday, the 3rd of March, but this time it will be a counterparallel, an aspect similar to opposition, between the Sun and Uranus, so we should expect an emphasis on personal freedom and originality, a desire to fight routine and to get out of the rut.

Be careful during the next weekend as the Sun will make a conjunction with Neptune on Sunday the 28th at 3:47 pm GMT, and the neptunian influence can be felt for at least a day before that moment. It will be a great time for meditation and spiritual pursuits but not so great for driving or anything that requires concentration.

The last two days of the coming fortnight will be interesting as Mercury will enter Pisces on the 5th of March (at 10:23 am GMT) and Mars will enter Sagittarius on the very next day, the 6th of March (at 2:29 am GMT). Both Pisces and Sagittarius are mutable signs, so I expect on those days multiple quickly changing situations related to communication, learning and commerce (Mercury) as well as work, sports and the way we assert our wills (Mars). Mercury in Pisces will strengthen imagination and synthetic abilities but weaken attention to details. Mars in Sagittarius will make us more active and adventurous, but also perhaps a little bit careless.

...

[fehro]

... text of an astrology email.

talking astrology.. Full moon 1.20pm tomorrow ET .. SPY 4hr Moon chart fwiw, with longer term über bear view… fwiw seems directional changes +/- 2-3 days of new/full moon.

[josephli]

will fed raise the rate? here are some good points: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... illion-say

conclusion: roller coaster mode confirmed.

[josephli]

in case any one miss it http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887

[fehro]

will fed raise the rate? here are some good points: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... illion-say

conclusion: roller coaster mode confirmed.

vs .. yeah I know "ZH" ...bets on NIRP have reached record levels - with 2017 now more likely than 2016 (QE first?)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-2 ... re-soaring

[josephli]

will fed raise the rate? here are some good points: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... illion-say

conclusion: roller coaster mode confirmed.

vs .. yeah I know "ZH" ...bets on NIRP have reached record levels - with 2017 now more likely than 2016 (QE first?)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-2 ... re-soaring

Bridgewater's view: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... t-sell-off

also this: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... -spreading

[fehro]

/ES-ish 30m SPX500 Tradingview CFD.. RS zone for the H&S.. as mentioned on Friday. viewtopic.php?f=2&t=1951&start=140#p215973

[fehro]

/CL - USOIL on the move.. W/D/60m.. RS in of invs H&S? .. shallow shoulder.. if so tends to be more bullish… Diamond break.. could retest the daily.. still.
DXY trying but under mid channel, 200d still

[daytradingES]

the story the market manipulators to " run " with on Monday?


Yuan forwards rose the most in a week on speculation Chinese policy makers will support the currency before a meeting of the Group of 20 central bankers and finance ministers. Government bonds fell.

Officials from the world’s biggest economies meeting in Shanghai on Feb. 26 and 27 will discuss the recent turmoil in China’s markets and ways to bolster a safety net for the global financial system, according to officials familiar with the agenda for the talks. People’s Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said Friday the country’s past makes its policy makers more likely to want to intervene when they perceive markets are in trouble.

"The PBOC will likely support the yuan to ensure its stability before the G-20 meeting because it would like to see good sentiment and minimum negative comments during the gathering," said Kenix Lai, a foreign-exchange analyst at Bank of East Asia Ltd. in Hong Kong. "The central bank’s stance of keeping the currency relatively stable has been very clear, so there won’t be major gains or losses in the near future."

source:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... efore-g-20

[pezhead9000]

FWIW: Over the past week
- Block flow data was positive
- SnP500 Tick data was positive

[Royal Flush]

Watch for contango beginning to unwind as CL has rallied historically. For now contango appears to be steepening which is bearish for oil.

[daytradingES]

MARKET COMMENTS

Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH16 +1.02%) this morning are up +22.00 points (+1.15%) at a 3-week high. Friday's closes: S&P 500 unch, Dow Jones -0.13%, Nasdaq +0.30%. The S&P 500 on Friday closed little changed. Stocks were undercut by the -3% sell-off in crude oil prices, which undercut energy producing stocks, and increased price pressures after U.S. Jan core CPI rose +0.3% m/m and +2.2% y/y, stronger than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.1% y/y, which bolstered the case for the Fed to keep raising interest rates. Stocks were boosted by a rally in technology stocks, led by a 7% jump in Applied Materials, and by comments from San Francisco Fed President John Williams who said "the economy is actually doing fine" and he sees a gradual U.S. rate hike path as the "best course."

Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH16 -0.16%) this morning are down -10 ticks. Friday's closes: TYH6 -0.50, FVH6 -3.00. Mar T-notes on Friday closed little changed. T-notes were boosted by carry-over support from a rally in German bunds to a 1-week high and by a flattening of the yield curve which prompted selling of the short end of the curve and buying of the long end of the Treasury curve. T-notes were undercut by increased price pressures after U.S. Jan core CPI rose +0.3% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.2% m/m and the fastest monthly pace of increase in 4-1/3 years.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.96%) this morning is up +0.841 (+0.87%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0089 (-0.80%) at a 2-week low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.67 (+0.59%). Friday's closes: Dollar Index -0.351 (-0.36%), EUR/USD +0.0023 (+0.21%), USD/JPY -0.61 (-0.54%). The dollar index on Friday fell back from a 1-1/2 week high and closed lower on weakness in USD/JPY as a slide in stocks boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen and on comments from San Francisco Fed President Williams who said that he sees a gradual U.S. rate hike path as the "best course." The dollar index posted a 1-1/2 week high early in the session after U.S Jan CPI rose more than expected, which bolstered the case for the Fed to keep raising interest rates.

Mar WTI crude (CLH16 +3.58%) this morning is up +$1.08 a barrel (+3.64%) and Mar gasoline (RBH16 +3.91%) is up +0.0366 (+3.81%). Friday's closes: CLH6 -1.05 (-3.41%), RBH6 -0.0081 (-0.83%). Mar crude oil and gasoline on Friday closed lower with Mar gasoline at a 1-week low. Crude oil prices were undercut by concern that the crude oil supply glut will persist after Thursday's EIA data showed a +2.147 million bbl increase in EIA crude inventories to a record high 504.1 million bbl and by the sell-off in stocks, which curbs confidence in the economic outlook and energy demand.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR02/22/2016
US 0830 ET Jan Chicago Fed national activity index expected +0.12 to -0.10, Dec +0.14 to -0.22.
0945 ET Prelim-Feb Markit manufacturing PMI expected +0.1 to 52.5, Jan +1.2 to 52.4.
1100 ET USDA weekly grain export inspections.
GER 0330 ET German Feb Markit/BME manufacturing PMI expected -0.4 to 51.9, Jan 52.3. Feb Markit services PMI expected -0.3 to 54.7, Jan 55.0.
EUR 0400 ET Eurozone Feb Markit manufacturing PMI expected -0.3 to 52.0, Jan 52.3. Feb composite PMI expected -0.3 to 53.3, Jan 53.6.
UK 0600 ET UK Feb CBI trends total orders expected +3 to -12, Jan -15. Feb CBI trends selling prices expected -1 to 0, Jan 1.

[josephli]

Watch for contango beginning to unwind as CL has rallied historically. For now contango appears to be steepening which is bearish for oil.

Cb0NevLWAAAPs9s.png large.png

I thought CL and natural gas futures are usually in contango, no?

[josephli]

market gap up. bear may get butchered today.

[pezhead9000]

Ned Davis Research ‏@NDR_Research - Oil technicals

[pezhead9000]

Saudi+Russia Oil deal - contingent

[pezhead9000]

Oil + ES Relationship (oil in pink)