The NYMO cycle appears to be up.
It has been pretty weak lately, but today is finally putting in a higher high.
It did turn up after June 26th's close in the turn zone, but it has struggled to get positive.
The model calls for two closes above zero to confirm the up cycle.
It remains possible that we don't get confirmation or that it confirms just as the up cycle is petering out.
Or perhaps a bull run is in the offing.
This rise off the March low has been IMO funky and volatile. So, call me cautious on what NYMO is saying.
Price-wise, we have another gap today (both on the Index and on the future).
There are only two up gap targets left, and they are on the way to new all time highs.
As there are nine down gap targets, there is plenty for bears to eat when their time comes.
On one hand, it appears we have a cup and handle formation that could take us to test the February high.
On the other, we have what looks like an ascending wedge as we test the June high here.
If I were an Elliott Waver, I might be thinking 5th wave ending diagonal...
Tomorrow, we have a retail sales number that could be a market mover, and Friday is OPEX.
As long as the 200 day MA remains below, I would say bulls are in charge despite occasional days with cliff dives.
I am flat. I had an R2K short that got off one scale but stopped out this morning for a net loss.
No swing setup on deck at the moment.