uempel wrote:Problem with short positions here is that momentum is not falling apart and today's Bullish Percentages point upwards. See the stockcharts link:
Today was the first SHORT TERM sell signal on XIV; the last signal was a buy long on 6 Feb.
It is currently back-testing the breakdown….. a new low will confirm the sell…
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
BullBear52x wrote:
This is when M1 sky rocketing and M2 flat. could you imagine when it circulate?
Oh here is the chart for M2.
You are so correct. Supply is huge now and when velocity increases, I can only imagine what we will have to do to reign in inflation. I would almost say Gold would be a buy but I also tink the inflation would be so huge all over the world that the usd would be propped up by foreign buyers seeking sanctuary. It will be very interesting to see how it all plays out. Very interesting.
TraderGirl wrote:At some point price could get lower than "a"....both SPY and FAS have similar counts....
As expected price headed below "a", now let's see if price will get below wave 3, the alternate count which could be another 5 waves down for "a" again....transports still have not gone below "a", so still have chances this could turn into another impulsive wave down on SPY...
5 waves down for "a", so bounce and more down....potential price target may be at least 183.1...
Bulls fighting...but price headed down below "a"....
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Calling TraderGirl ---- > I saw your chart the other day regarding $USD (related to UUP) and I was thinking
about that when I saw this article on the Kitco site.
Do you think that USD is turning today, right on the money, and is starting the next wave of EWT (on a daily/weekly basis)
or do you think the scenario unfolding is more like the following:
if bulls cannot lift price here then it'd be dangerous because the support has been tested so many times so hardly can hold another test.
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TraderGirl wrote:At some point price could get lower than "a"....both SPY and FAS have similar counts....
As expected price headed below "a", now let's see if price will get below wave 3, the alternate count which could be another 5 waves down for "a" again....transports still have not gone below "a", so still have chances this could turn into another impulsive wave down on SPY...
5 waves down for "a", so bounce and more down....potential price target may be at least 183.1...
Bulls fighting...but price headed down below "a"....
So nice to see your charts again, TG!
Is there a larger count on, #1 being the move down (1850 to 1737) and #2 being the move up (1737 to 1847) and now we are in the #3 which will be a longer and larger move down?
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100% mm I don't believe, more of than not nowadays, the breakdown is fake.
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vol surge, biggest bar, so rebound, let's see how rebound goes first.
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OK, bears won without me riding the trend down. the reason bears won today is simple because I covered way too early.
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