Why there is this obsession to catch a falling knife here? It started a week ago and still trying. Market went almost non-stop for over a year, we are in a bad seasonality, and there are wars raging in several countries. IMHO, the only reasonable trade is short the rebound. What if this is 1987 again?
But even I admit there should be a sizable bounce soon (I need to reload shorts).
Last edited by jack black on Thu Aug 07, 2014 7:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
jack black wrote:Why there is this obsession to catch a falling knife here? It started a week ago and still trying. Market went almost non-stop for over a year, we are in a bad seasonality, and there are wars raging in several countries. IMHO, the only reasonable trade is short the rebound. What if this is 1987 again?
But even I admit there should be a sizable bounce soon (I need to reload shorts).
No obsession on my part. History has shown that when TRIN exceeds a close of 2 there is a very good probability buyers start to assert themselves in a few days. Could this time be different? Yes definitely, in fact the low VIX readings and horizontal consolidation makes me think there is more downside to come