hopefully this is a Symmetrical Triangle in the forming. cannot believe there's only one push up. Come on, it's QE3 we're talking.
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KENA wrote:I just did a little research on volume.Notice the volume on the last 6 day up and today is very low compared to the 3 dn days we had.Investers just are not buying this up move. Nuff said.
also /es liquidity is running very low... a lot of people are not in the market right now due to headline risks i guess. DOM has 1K offer/bids, very low this past week or so.
ok, I hope it's a bull flag now. cannot believe what I see here.
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So sad for bulls. Just looks like a common bear flag which measures to 129 SPY or so. It shell be a disappointment to those again who thought they caught a bottom if true.
OK, I now ya'll really love these long term charts, but it helps to put a perspective on the box we've been in this year. A long term triangle that price is currently contending with:
Down trend resistance now at 1358.
Up trend support now at 1279.
Last August's Bear Trap coincided with Ben's famous QE2 speech. They are certainly aware of the proximity of the up trend line, and meddle as they must with the "free" market, who knows what to expect? Trading a fundamentally driven free market would certainly be easier.
Last edited by rhight on Fri Feb 17, 2012 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
rhight wrote:OK, I now ya'll really love these long term charts, but it helps to put a perspective on the box we've been in this year. A long term triangle that price is currently contending with:
Down trend resistance now at 1358.
Up trend support now at 1279.
Last August's Bear Trap coincided with Ben's famous QE2 speech. They are certainly aware of the proximity of the up trend line, and meddle as they must with the "free" market, who knows what to expect? Trading a fundamentally driven free market would certainly be easier.
"Trading a fundamentally driven market" is impossible. All "fundamentals" are backward looking and hence are priced in as soon as they come out. Therefore, there is only technical trading. People who trade on fundamentals are essentially looking forward to earnings or events that have not taken place yet (speculation) so in that sense they are just guessing and not really trading on true fundamentals.
To begin with, today's rally does not have any support from elements in medium-term as well as short-term. Therefore, it might just be a short-lived one. However, at this moment of writing I don't see any signal to short this market yet (i.e. for short-term play).
I've been a MOMENTUM trader over a decade & I only trade setups ranging from scalping, day or swing trading for living. My posts on here are ONLY FOR FUN & therefore not recommending anything to anyone. GLTA.
cheech wrote:So sad for bulls. Just looks like a common bear flag which measures to 129 SPY or so. It shell be a disappointment to those again who thought they caught a bottom if true.
Cheech, you need more than one point to draw a trend line (your lower trend line)
Cobra wrote:ok, I hope it's a bull flag now. cannot believe what I see here.
I am not trading today but based on your 5 minutes chart I think they are building a trading range between the high and 1327 until the last hour, but if we go below 1323 then it will be rare