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01/31/2015 Weekend Update

hunterman
Posts: 84
Joined: Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:40 am

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by hunterman »

If we are turely going to enter the yearly cycle low then Del has it right, we will hit a low within the next two weeks and then go on one heck of a rip rally! Only difference I see is that the lows on your chart (1970's?) Are much higher then what I can see. I have them at the 1910 to 20 mark and even see a break to the 18's...I know pretty extreme but at that point it flushes weak into capitulation and that's what I want to see...I do not see it happening until either end of next week or beginning of followine one but can happen in either of the two weeks. Glta!
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DellGriffith
Posts: 1803
Joined: Sun Aug 25, 2013 5:24 pm

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by DellGriffith »

hunterman wrote:If we are turely going to enter the yearly cycle low then Del has it right, we will hit a low within the next two weeks and then go on one heck of a rip rally! Only difference I see is that the lows on your chart (1970's?) Are much higher then what I can see. I have them at the 1910 to 20 mark and even see a break to the 18's...I know pretty extreme but at that point it flushes weak into capitulation and that's what I want to see...I do not see it happening until either end of next week or beginning of followine one but can happen in either of the two weeks. Glta!
I don't post the best I have (the ones I am actually trading). The system I trade says we have one of two options:

1. We put in a significant low on Jan 15th.
2. If that is NOT the low, we get a BRIEF dip (less than 1 week) below that date, and THAT is the significant low.

Friday's close at the low suggests monday is another down day. So we're in scenario two. My system says it will be sharp and brief and a POWERFUL rally will begin by friday, something that takes us to new highs.

Because I played scenario one, I'm in the vomit comet and the correct approach is to hold onto my current positions and BUY more when the dip comes this week to average down!
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
fehro
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2011 2:06 pm

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by fehro »

yields again.. fwiw.
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fehro
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2011 2:06 pm

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by fehro »

for the uber bullish view…. sorta, kinda, similar, fwiw..... SPX only…. 6-7yr comparison… yields just for interest…
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Eddie
Posts: 154
Joined: Thu Oct 16, 2014 3:21 pm

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by Eddie »

Wow.
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Junior Buffett
Posts: 1089
Joined: Mon Apr 15, 2013 4:39 pm

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by Junior Buffett »

Eddie wrote:Wow.
so no big down on monday? based on this looks like big money eyeing for new high within month or so...
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gappy
Posts: 3163
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2011 3:34 pm
Location: Peapatch Tx

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by gappy »

Just imo.
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The market value is a matter of national security now. ;) 2013 ponzi pump was good to one standard deviation above the mean. The latest though smaller pump insures we won't see stocks under a two standard deviation until the dollar loses it's reserve currency status. We use the yen as a lever.
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(the above quote from Pebblewriter who watches such a thing)
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And here we go, this hour. Vote Cobra. glta
‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
selftrade
Posts: 1
Joined: Sun Feb 01, 2015 1:31 pm

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by selftrade »

How did you get the institutional buying/selling data
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gappy
Posts: 3163
Joined: Tue Nov 22, 2011 3:34 pm
Location: Peapatch Tx

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by gappy »

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‘the petrodollar is our currency and our problem’....Gappy
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by uempel »

Support MA 191 and lower BB 20/2:
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uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by uempel »

Monthly MA 9 (now at 1999) has been important since the rally began in December 2011 :geek:
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Last edited by uempel on Mon Feb 02, 2015 11:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update

Post by uempel »

Update:
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