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Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 11:28 am
by silicon_beaver
Al_Dente wrote:NO RATE HIKE:
According to the 30-day Fed Funds futures prices, which have long been used to express the market's views on the likelihood of changes in U.S. monetary policy, the probability of a September rate hike is only 25%
As of today
914no hike.png.png
Another sign, GOLD is up.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 11:29 am
by fehro
key time.. 21 day uptrend... cracks.. look out below!! SPY 15m left, 60m right
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 11:33 am
by fehro
INDEX days.. NDX/USO testing 20d +VIX
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 11:42 am
by Daniel
up/down volume continues to deteriorate on both NYSE and Nasdaq
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 11:46 am
by Al_Dente
silicon_beaver wrote:Al_Dente wrote:NO RATE HIKE:
According to the 30-day Fed Funds futures prices, which have long been used to express the market's views on the likelihood of changes in U.S. monetary policy, the probability of a September rate hike is only 25%
As of today
Another sign, GOLD is up.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 11:51 am
by Cobra
I consider H&S top successful. now wait to see if bulls can make a double bottom here. key time.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:15 pm
by fehro
SPX .. VIX 1m continues.. to act strange with very wild swings.. with sharp pop, and pullback 15m shown here.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:18 pm
by Cobra
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:48 pm
by MrMiyagi
Hmmm... will double bottom hold or not...
It's looking like a triple bottom, if it holds.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:58 pm
by fehro
New moon Friday.. fwiw.. SPY 4hr
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:23 pm
by fehro
tighter and tighter into the vortex of the triangle.. = break less meaningful .. (possible chop) probably morph into another pattern..
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:24 pm
by Al_Dente
Al_Dente wrote:Declining stocks are 1.7 x advancing stocks (NYDEC/NYADV)
Declining volume is 2.0 x advancing volume (NYDNV/NYUPV)
Bear bias
Declining stocks are 2.19 x advancing stocks
Declining volume is 2.69 x advancing volume
Bear bias
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:31 pm
by Al_Dente
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:40 pm
by Unique
ES: I'm long 1939, stop = 1936. Same kinda trade like on Friday. Risk 3 for 15-20. Target 1950-1952.
FYI, this isn't as high of a probability than the Friday trade just so you know.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:47 pm
by Cobra
possible double bottom, but vol surge here so might be a pullback first then we'll see.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:50 pm
by Trades with cats
On the Dec ES contract I have VWAP at 1945.50. With the low volume this week you would think they could at least get it up 2 to that target.
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:52 pm
by fehro
SPX into resistance again..
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:55 pm
by Unique
AMZN: The puts nearly doubled, I nailed the HOD is in prediction. Nothing much to do here. 519 friday low target already reached, closed all my shorts for intraday
GOOGL: If we end well today 655-656, think we gonna gap up tomorrow/ continue to grind up to 667- 674 region this week
TSLA: If bulls end well today 253-255, seems like we gonna gap over 255 tomorrow and go for 259-261 immediate target. Easy money train I guess. If uber bull then 271 is gap fill for later this week.
Keep it simple, pretty easy day today. I'm out again, gotta run!
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 2:17 pm
by fehro
SPX.. still looking LOD, new LOD, yellow, gap fill
Re: 09/14/2015 Live Update
Posted: Mon Sep 14, 2015 2:49 pm
by fehro
SPX descending wedge 5m.. break LOD measured move 194.50 "IF" it goes..
