01/15/2013 Live Update

[Cobra]

members only update at 9:56 am
$SPY, $SPX, $AAPL
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/01 ... ay-update/

[ClarkW]

A new VIXies M05 trading setup has been released. Comments/thoughts are welcome.
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/01 ... io-surges/

I just posted a chart of the Harapa-set up for stockcharts.com users, just below Harapa’s post (over on the members page that he just linked)
(thanks Doc )

THANK YOU AL! AND THANK YOU HARAPA! YOU GUYS ARE DOING GREAT THINGS! SO IS EVERYONE ELSE!

[jarbo456]

does anyone trade volatility frequently enough to tell me their favorite vol ETP?

i'm already long VIX calls, but i'm looking at something for another account, and i'd prefer to stay away from ETN's - but not really liking ANY of the vol ETP's i'm looking at.

[ClarkW]

AND ANOTHER THING....WHY IN THE HELL WOULD ANYONE NOT BE A MEMBER OF COBRA'S NIGHTLY REPORTS? AMAZING STUFF!

[Cobra]

could be a small double bottom, so bulls have a little better chances here.

[Al_Dente]

thanks JFR and outofbounds and clarkw
and thanks COBRA

[skittlesmds]

FWIW. ES 5 min channel. Not sure if this is helpful, I'm just sharing my trendlines.

[Cobra]

valid double bottom breakout. you know the target.

[skittlesmds]

Market is showing great strength with Apple being below $500. It is a little surprising to me to be honest.

[Unique]

The day has come, AAPL. Targets are being hit. The reversal will make 3x on weeklys/front months

RSI hourly not reached <23 yet, awaiting price confirmation and should go lower. 485 isn't hit yet

[Al_Dente]

CORN
Right now I show it as just a bounce up to test MAs (200sma is dotted black)
But it might get real (?)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-1 ... -loss.html

[Cobra]

members only update at 10:25 am on AAPL
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2013/01 ... ay-update/

[L_T]

Neutral.

My trend signal is up.
My summation signal is also up.

Going to the sidelines on Friday in spite of trend so far is being helpful and not hurtful.
I am watching carefully to discern whether/when to re-enter or to remain neutral.

For day traders, which I am not, ES made a picture perfect turn last night.
It is a textbook example of support becoming resistance.
I put up this chart yesterday pointing out evolving support (blue circles).
Last night we got our hourly close below the 100 MA nested between two 26 MA touches. Very cool IMO.
This makes me bear short term. Could be good trading today for some of you.

ES 100 Update.jpg

Why 26 period MA? Just curious.

[L_T]

does anyone trade volatility frequently enough to tell me their favorite vol ETP?

i'm already long VIX calls, but i'm looking at something for another account, and i'd prefer to stay away from ETN's - but not really liking ANY of the vol ETP's i'm looking at.

A couple of lists I found. Most are ETN's unfortunately.

Symbol Name Avg Daily Volume

VXX – iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETF 21,795,900
VXZ – iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF 749,911
XXV – iPath Inverse S&P 500 Vix S/T Futures ETN 83,689
TVIX – VelocityShares Daily 2x Leveraged VIX ST ETN 523,638
VZZ – iPath Long Enhan S&P 500 VIX Mid Term Futures ETN 40,897
XIV – VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short Term ETN 120,860
XVIX – UBS E-TRACS Daily Long-Short VIX ETN 31,054
VIIX – VelocityShares Long VIX Short-term ETN 7,329
TVIZ - VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Mid-term ETN 1,284
CVOL – C-Tracks Citi Volatility Index Total Return ETF 5,600
ZIV - VelocityShares Daily Inverse Mid-term VIX 521
VIIZ - VelocityShares Long VIX Mid-term ETN 90

Average Daily Volume as of: 4/26/2011



Symbol Name
VXX iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures ETN
XIV VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short-Term ETN
XVZ iPath S&P 500 Dynamic VIX ETN
UVXY ltra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
TVIX VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN
SVXY Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
VXZ iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
VIXM ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
ZIV VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Medium-Term ETN
XVIX UBS E-TRACS Daily Long-Short VIX ETN
VIIX VelocityShares VIX Short-Term ETN
PHDG PowerShares S&P 500 Downside Hedged Portfolio
XXV Barclays ETN Inverse S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
VIIZ VelocityShares VIX Medium-Term ETN
CVOL C-Tracks ETN Citi Volatility Index Total Return
IVOP Inverse S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (II) Profile
TVIZ VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Medium-Term ETN

[traderessentials]

Cobra, What is your take on MDT? Looks like strong push up but needs to take out $45 to avoid double top, right?

[johnnywa]

Small caps showing strength today,can it pull up the S&P???

[Royal Flush]

does anyone trade volatility frequently enough to tell me their favorite vol ETP?

i'm already long VIX calls, but i'm looking at something for another account, and i'd prefer to stay away from ETN's - but not really liking ANY of the vol ETP's i'm looking at.

Take a look at this jarbo456.
http://i104.photobucket.com/albums/m163 ... 091012.png

[Al_Dente]

VXX renko (20 cent bricks) is still a sell (bull spy) at the moment

[Mr. BachNut]

Neutral.

My trend signal is up.
My summation signal is also up.

Going to the sidelines on Friday in spite of trend so far is being helpful and not hurtful.
I am watching carefully to discern whether/when to re-enter or to remain neutral.

For day traders, which I am not, ES made a picture perfect turn last night.
It is a textbook example of support becoming resistance.
I put up this chart yesterday pointing out evolving support (blue circles).
Last night we got our hourly close below the 100 MA nested between two 26 MA touches. Very cool IMO.
This makes me bear short term. Could be good trading today for some of you.

ES 100 Update.jpg

Why 26 period MA? Just curious.

Personal preference from use over time. I have had stops picked off at the 25 a bunch. So, this is a slightly higher bar on breaks. Probably doesn't help much, but I feel better...

[L_T]

does anyone trade volatility frequently enough to tell me their favorite vol ETP?

i'm already long VIX calls, but i'm looking at something for another account, and i'd prefer to stay away from ETN's - but not really liking ANY of the vol ETP's i'm looking at.

Take a look at this jarbo456.
http://i104.photobucket.com/albums/m163 ... 091012.png

Ha ha that's way better than mine!