Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

11/22/2013 Live Update

User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 61829
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by uempel »

Junior Buffett wrote:Cobra,

Can you please educate and provide your view on Bitcoin? that bug jumped $ 250 to $ 900 in 10 day!!!!!! :o :o

Thank you
Google Tulip Mania :mrgreen:
User avatar
Junior Buffett
Posts: 1089
Joined: Mon Apr 15, 2013 4:39 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by Junior Buffett »

uempel wrote:
Junior Buffett wrote:Cobra,

Can you please educate and provide your view on Bitcoin? that bug jumped $ 250 to $ 900 in 10 day!!!!!! :o :o

Thank you
Google Tulip Mania :mrgreen:
LOL...I know but this electronic currency can have future with digital world...what boggles me how! thank you
User avatar
MrMiyagi
Posts: 10342
Joined: Sun Oct 16, 2011 12:48 pm

Post by MrMiyagi »

Can you withdraw a bitcoin and hold it in your hands?
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 30707
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

IWM mid to long term setup, if bulls manage to move histogram to positive, my sell the rip will be voided. right now is right at the border line. bears either do it now or without me :)
Attachments
1.JPG
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
User avatar
champix
Posts: 551
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 9:13 am
Location: PARIS

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by champix »

uempel wrote:
Junior Buffett wrote:Cobra,

Can you please educate and provide your view on Bitcoin? that bug jumped $ 250 to $ 900 in 10 day!!!!!! :o :o

Thank you
Google Tulip Mania :mrgreen:
This is a fantasm me think. Bernanke says it is ok, Richard Branson tells Virgin Galactic has accepted a bitcoin payment.
Bitcoins from 12 USD in 2012 to 700 today. This kind of speculation is a sign that there is too much money in the system...
My opinion is that it will be shown in books history as the tulip speculation is today to explain global financial delirium.... :D :D
Last edited by champix on Fri Nov 22, 2013 1:20 pm, edited 2 times in total.
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 30707
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re:

Post by BullBear52x »

MrMiyagi wrote:Can you withdraw a bitcoin and hold it in your hands?
so 8 bitcoin is 1 bitecoin right? and if you have lots of them you will become Megainaire right?
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
fehro
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2011 2:06 pm

Re:

Post by fehro »

MrMiyagi wrote:Can you withdraw a bitcoin and hold it in your hands?
http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/20 ... m_gallery/
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

It's possible to find resistance in this area...??
Attachments
Screen Shot 2013-11-22 at 9.20.46 AM.png
BigChief
Posts: 168
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2011 10:07 am

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by BigChief »

VIX breaking down through resistance while market makes new highs, fake out?
2013-11-22-TOS_CHARTS1.png
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

Here is the update I sent out on Sunday night....followed pretty well...was expecting a pullback of some kind today...but may come later...?? Told subscribers we may see the biggest down day on Weds...
Attachments
Screen Shot 2013-11-22 at 9.17.54 AM.png
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by uempel »

2014, today's mail from 200 West:

Developed equity markets are closer to the sources of equity optimism – the favourable
combination of DM growth and accommodative policy – but they are also the markets that
have benefited most so far in 2013. After a year of outsized market performance, dictated in
large part by expanding multiples and a compression of risk premia, our expectations
globally this coming year are for more moderate returns amid low volatility, and for a tilt
toward earnings growth as the primary driver in the US and Europe, with robust dividend
yields and some consolidation in multiples.

Expectations for US returns are modest, with an end-2014 target of 1900 for the S&P 500,
for a price return of about 6% from current levels and a total return of slightly more than
8%, amid still-low realised and implied volatility. The US multiple, which expanded in 2013
to 15.5, is expected to compress a touch to just over 15, with earnings growth and dividend
yield responsible for the expected upside. Expectations are more robust in Europe, with
volatilities similarly moderate: our 2014 Stoxx600 target of 360 is almost 11% from current
levels, as a pick-up in earnings growth more than offsets some multiple compression. In
Japan, expectations are higher still, although volatilities are more elevated as well, with an
end-2014 Topix price target of 1800, up more than 17% from current levels. Japan returns
are driven by significant earnings growth and some ongoing multiple expansion, with
Japanese markets still well behind the recovery seen in other DMs relative to pre-crisis
levels.

Expectations in Asia ex-Japan are for about 8% returns, but that is back-end-loaded,
with Asian EM markets facing some pressure during the first half of the year.
The clearest expressions of this DM-domestic-demand-driven market view have already
been generously priced in most places, with US and European indices making new highs,
and leadership in 2013 concentrated in domestic cyclicals, although these trends may well
extend. Our forecasts call for an acceleration in the US to be focused on a pick-up in
investment spending, which is less aggressively priced at the sector level (Industrials and
Technology), and may have implications more globally (export-heavy Korea, Taiwan and
Germany are first among equals here).

While the EM economic outlook is less favourable than the DM outlook in terms of the
growth/policy balance, coming after a year of significant underperformance, our EM equity
outlook is a bit more upbeat. Stability in China and reform optimism there, DM support for
external EM sectors, and perhaps a boost to EM external sectors from currency weakness
(relative to the USD), add up to a more sanguine view of EM equities relative to most of
last year and relative to other EM assets for the coming year.

We would emphasise that any optimism here ought to be focused on capturing exposure
to DM economics, focused on risk premia that have built up over the last few years of
underperformance, while avoiding some of the EM markets with moderate global exposure
and deeper structural issues at home. So EM differentiation remains a key theme. It is also
worth noting that, given the robust commodity supply outlook, lack of China growth
acceleration and resulting downside commodity price risks, despite a bit more EM
optimism, commodity-linked sectors (Materials and Energy) and commodity-heavy markets
(Russia, South Africa, and Brazil) may be less likely to benefit, given our core set of views.
Along with the expected growth acceleration, we also envisage periods of rate worries that
may halt equity markets, even if only temporarily. Building composite trades that manage
that specific risk via other assets that may be affected by a US rates sell-off – and that
benefit less from the underlying US growth driver – may help in holding core long equity
positions during bouts of rate turmoil.
User avatar
MrMiyagi
Posts: 10342
Joined: Sun Oct 16, 2011 12:48 pm

Post by MrMiyagi »

I guess the answer is no because that ATM gives you local currency.

So the Bitcoin is nothing in reality.
User avatar
quientuves
Posts: 477
Joined: Wed May 25, 2011 3:24 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by quientuves »

Nice to see you, TG!
You were sorely missed...
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

This is possibly why bitcoin pulled back, but doesn't seem like it would be done yet...

This could be a,b 5 waves for c, or ab could instead be 1, 2, 5 waves up for 3... so perhaps it is a wave 3 or c....usually at least another attempt at a high...

But it definitely could be a bubble machine...going to pop at some point...POP!!
Attachments
Screen Shot 2013-11-22 at 9.31.39 AM.png
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

quientuves wrote:Nice to see you, TG!
You were sorely missed...

Thank you! I miss everyone here! :D :D
User avatar
quientuves
Posts: 477
Joined: Wed May 25, 2011 3:24 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by quientuves »

Question is you can't short Bitcoin...
fehro
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2011 2:06 pm

Re:

Post by fehro »

MrMiyagi wrote:
I guess the answer is no because that ATM gives you local currency.

So the Bitcoin is nothing in reality.
Yes .. no coins... just a "number" QR code .. for your digital wallet.... http://bitcoin.org/en/how-it-works http://bitcoin.org/en/faq
Attachments
Screen shot 2013-11-22 at 9.54.53 AM.png
Last edited by fehro on Fri Nov 22, 2013 1:55 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Heck
Posts: 2535
Joined: Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:56 pm
Location: Lake Tahoe, Nevada

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by Heck »

Breaking the rules Dept
ISE so uber-bullish, sold QQQ calls and bot QQQ puts today

http://www.ise.com/market-data/isee-index/
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 11/22/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

I think they may open the bidding near $100,000
maltese_png.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Post Reply