Still short the es from 1778.50,but chicken covered break even... im up nicely on the day and i guess im too scared i'll give it back.. i'll just watch for a while (lousy entry too)
out lunch with clients, be back in hour or two. I'm neutral here as I see very small 3 push up so might be a small pullback soon.
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This "bottom" (or consolidation?) is reminiscent of the August 28 thru Sept 4 2013 bottom, with today being somewhat similar to Sept 3, 2013 ; the difference being that the TRIN on that day was bullish all day, down around 0,05 , even with the dip down to the prior day's gap up - also that bottom had a distinct 3 waves down from the early August high -
So far, it only looks like 1 wave down to me - still, I'd have to go long a move above yesterday's high for a daily swing high -
I went long XIV this morning for a quick gain - but bearish TRIN and EUR/YEN cross have made me doubtful - we'll see - the bullish set-up doesn't look half bad, but something seems to be missing - TICK looks good, and TRIN is trending bull, soooo more ready to jump on the bull train the bear, just waiting for it pull out of the station
Swing to Intermediate SPX Analysis - multiple time frame - Daily & 60 min time and price cycle analysis.
Usually trade SSO / SDS
The way i read this thing is ..they took it down to within a whisker of every bodys bear/bull line in the sand, then a tremendous rally to convince most that the new highs next scenerio is alive .Then, next week? the bottom falls out and slightly lower lows come confirming the near term bear case thereby trapping the most people possible..lol.. At least thats one way this could work out, but we'll see.i base that on several reasons i have mentioned in my posts. i doubt however ,this correction(remember 5-7% has been very typical since 2009, refer to chart page one) is going to be the "big one".
From the WTF department:
“The Hungarian forint found itself in the eye of the storm, sinking to a fresh two-year low against the euro, as a broad emerging-market selloff continued to bite Europe's previously more resilient currencies.”
Oy
[WSJ]
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.