03/31/2014 Live Update

Post by **Cobra** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 1:59 pm

vol surge, hopefully a rebound here first. stuck in a range, no direction.

BullBear52x · Post by **BullBear52x** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:00 pm

Come to papa buy the dip.

TWT · Post by **TWT** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:04 pm

$SPX: Follow up of the Triangle option

Me XMan · Post by **Me XMan** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:13 pm

Don't tell me we're at the top???

MrMiyagi wrote:
2706.png

uempel · Post by **uempel** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:16 pm

MrMiyagi wrote:
2706.png

And what happened to 188?

ALdaytrade · Post by **ALdaytrade** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:16 pm

flumanchu wrote:.

Still - SPX 1876 today - based on POMO.

1790 for End of April.

Beware: POMO schedule comes out at 3:00 EST. If it's weak the next week or so, there could be a selloff to frontrun the weakness coming. POMO can only do so much. If there's enough fear, then fear will take precedence and they'll step back and hold the POMO funds for another day - get the bears to short as much as possible, and then ramp it up to burn them. POMO and bears have driven this market for the last 5 years.

Let's see what the schedule looks like at 3:00...

.

I asked on the weekend blog, however you might have missed it, how did you know that there was 3.7 billion POMO left for release for today? Is it on the POMO site? Was that from you own calculations that you keep from a record of what has been released? I found the their site that they only released 242.069 $B today. Can they carry the rest forward into April?

Post by **Cobra** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:18 pm

rebound indeed. bullish if can test range high again, wait.

ALdaytrade · Post by **ALdaytrade** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:20 pm

Most volume on the put and on the call options are indicating, 187.00 today. However, they only have print outs for.00 so I do not know exactly the settlement price.

quientuves · Post by **quientuves** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:20 pm

flumanchu wrote:.

Still - SPX 1876 today - based on POMO.

1790 for End of April.

Beware: POMO schedule comes out at 3:00 EST. If it's weak the next week or so, there could be a selloff to frontrun the weakness coming. POMO can only do so much. If there's enough fear, then fear will take precedence and they'll step back and hold the POMO funds for another day - get the bears to short as much as possible, and then ramp it up to burn them. POMO and bears have driven this market for the last 5 years.

Let's see what the schedule looks like at 3:00...

.

Flumanchu, this is going exactly on your way... Waiting for MrMiyagi's Power Hour!!

Congrats!!

(waiting for that 1790... on April)

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:20 pm

ALdaytrade wrote:
flumanchu wrote:.

Still - SPX 1876 today - based on POMO.

1790 for End of April.

Beware: POMO schedule comes out at 3:00 EST. If it's weak the next week or so, there could be a selloff to frontrun the weakness coming. POMO can only do so much. If there's enough fear, then fear will take precedence and they'll step back and hold the POMO funds for another day - get the bears to short as much as possible, and then ramp it up to burn them. POMO and bears have driven this market for the last 5 years.

Let's see what the schedule looks like at 3:00...

.
I asked on the weekend blog, however you might have missed it, how did you know that there was 3.7 billion POMO left for release for today? Is it on the POMO site? Was that from you own calculations that you keep from a record of what has been released? I found the their site that they only released 242.069 $B today. Can they carry the rest forward into April?

http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_o ... edule.html Check "current schedule" and "all schedule" tabs

uempel · Post by **uempel** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:22 pm

Update:

MrMiyagi · Post by **MrMiyagi** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:23 pm

uempel wrote:And what happened to 188?

The 189.02$ pBars have 3 days left.

BullBear52x · Post by **BullBear52x** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:25 pm

/ES intraday 1862 is the number, anything lower will indicate failed buy at 1862.

BullBear52x · Post by **BullBear52x** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:30 pm

see 1 min. squeeze, it's back in the red again.

Me XMan · Post by **Me XMan** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:33 pm

HFT at work?

BullBear52x wrote:see 1 min. squeeze, it's back in the red again.

ALdaytrade · Post by **ALdaytrade** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:38 pm

fehro wrote:
ALdaytrade wrote:
flumanchu wrote:.

Still - SPX 1876 today - based on POMO.

1790 for End of April.

Beware: POMO schedule comes out at 3:00 EST. If it's weak the next week or so, there could be a selloff to frontrun the weakness coming. POMO can only do so much. If there's enough fear, then fear will take precedence and they'll step back and hold the POMO funds for another day - get the bears to short as much as possible, and then ramp it up to burn them. POMO and bears have driven this market for the last 5 years.

Let's see what the schedule looks like at 3:00...

.
I asked on the weekend blog, however you might have missed it, how did you know that there was 3.7 billion POMO left for release for today? Is it on the POMO site? Was that from you own calculations that you keep from a record of what has been released? I found the their site that they only released 242.069 $B today. Can they carry the rest forward into April?
http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_o ... edule.html Check "current schedule" and "all schedule" tabs

Thank you fehro, I have been using those links. However, that does not answer my question, as the schedule did not indicate any release for March 31st and as I stated above, only the 242.069 $B, has been released today as seen in the "Temporary" file. So, I am wondering if there is a carry forward for April? I am asking the question, more specifically, how flumanchu knew that 3.7 million was left for today. There was and estimated $3.75 - $4.50 billion scheduled for Thursday, March 27, 2014, however there was no schedule for an Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase for March 31,2014. Do you see my confusion?

BullBear52x · Post by **BullBear52x** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:48 pm

ALdaytrade wrote:
fehro wrote:
ALdaytrade wrote:
flumanchu wrote:.

Still - SPX 1876 today - based on POMO.

.
s
Thank you fehro, I have been using those links. However, that does not answer my question, as the schedule did not indicate any release for March 31st and as I stated above, only the 242.069 $B, has been released today as seen in the "Temporary" file. So, I am wondering if there is a carry forward for April? I am asking the question, more specifically, how flumanchu knew that 3.7 million was left for today. There was and estimated $3.75 - $4.50 billion scheduled for Thursday, March 27, 2014, however there was no schedule for an Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase for March 31,2014. Do you see my confusion?

ALdaytrade if you really need the answer ask him how many beers does it take to get the answer, get him a good beers

JK.

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:48 pm

ALdaytrade wrote:
Thank you fehro, I have been using those links. However, that does not answer my question, as the schedule did not indicate any release for March 31st and as I stated above, only the 242.069 $B, has been released today as seen in the "Temporary" file. So, I am wondering if there is a carry forward for April? I am asking the question, more specifically, how flumanchu knew that 3.7 million was left for today. There was and estimated $3.75 - $4.50 billion scheduled for Thursday, March 27, 2014, however there was no schedule for an Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase for March 31,2014. Do you see my confusion?

yes sorry... but if you go to the bottom of the schedule, you'll see:
The next release of the tentative outright Treasury operation schedule will be at 3 p.m. on March 31, 2014. At that time the Desk will publish information on transaction prices for securities included in the operations listed above.

Not sure about the exact amounts.

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 2:59 pm

possible minor H&S SPX 15m.. take it with a grain of salt.. .pink neckline.

MrMiyagi · Post by **MrMiyagi** » Mon Mar 31, 2014 3:00 pm

!!!!! POWER HOUR !!!!!

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