uempel wrote:This chart gave a buy signal this morning, backtests show that the buy signals (approx 80%) are more reliable than the sell signals (approx 60%). But note that the reliability of the three indicators has deteriorated lately:
Signal.png
THANKS
I can can give you a link so you can update yourself - but the chart is hourly and the link will only work if you are a subscriber to stockcharts...
2 legged pullback to support, and this is the 2nd chance if you missed H2, kind of H3, so chances are high that we'll keep rebound here. on the other hand, if this bounce is failed right here, then the gap will be filled today because it's a failed H2 and will send bulls running for cover. let's see.
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Cobra wrote:2 legged pullback to support, and this is the 2nd chance if you missed H2, kind of H3, so chances are high that we'll keep rebound here. on the other hand, if this bounce is failed right here, then the gap will be filled today because it's a failed H2 and will send bulls running for cover. let's see.
Simple mind, it will eventually come back to 5dma, with the distance gap like we have now sell until 5dma meet and then looking for support and go long.
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Last edited by BullBear52x on Thu Apr 21, 2011 10:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
BullBear52x wrote:Simple mind, it will eventually come back to 5dma, with the distance gap like we have now sell until 5dma meet and then looking for support and go long.
Yes, but the longer price stays high the quicker the MA moves up. I believe it's kind of tricky to go short at such a crucial point when the bulls are in charge. Risk/reward not attractive to me. And the gap might not be filled for many weeks. Safer to play the long side.
BullBear52x wrote:Simple mind, it will eventually come back to 5dma, with the distance gap like we have now sell until 5dma meet and then looking for support and go long.
I agree 132.50 would be a good entry for a swing trade, but the dip buyers every 3 point dip so don't hold your breath. I would be nice to have a more volatile market, but that is probably dreaming.
BullBear52x wrote:Simple mind, it will eventually come back to 5dma, with the distance gap like we have now sell until 5dma meet and then looking for support and go long.
Yes, but the longer price stays high the quicker the MA moves up. I believe it's kind of tricky to go short at such a crucial point when the bulls are in charge. Risk/reward not attractive to me. And the gap might not be filled for many weeks. Safer to play the long side.
I got you, but my point was gap too far out from the mean a chance they will meet halfway is high probability. right now I won't hope down more than 132.5 spy.
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
I see triangle here, so chances are little bit better for a higher price.
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