Pretzel Logic's Elliot Wave count has a Cletus option that agrees with Mr Bachnut. Possible this is D of a triangle. SPX reaching 2115 would confirm we are on the way to 2170. On the other hand (President Truman "can some one find me a one handed economist !"), if this drop proves out to be 5 waves down, not an ABC then the only question is how far will the Feds let it fall before they step in. My opinion is that they need a whole lot of political support to start printing money again so they are going to really have to let it rip.
We all talked about Lumber several months ago and I put forward the opinion that China might be the cause of lower prices if they were beginning to see a building slowdown. We now know that to be true but I contend that the continues lower prices may be due to building slowdowns here also. I have not seen any domestic numbers to justify this theory, but these lumber prices are VERY low.
6 month and 10 year charts. Remember, construction is a leading indicator.
key time, descending triangle or not. breakout would be double bottom bears are in danger.
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well, let's make the pattern simple, breakout above line it's H&S bottom or double bottom.
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