Trades with cats wrote:Just checked, James Bullard speaks at 9:30 eastern tomorrow. How many times a year is he allowed to move markets? Cause it seems like after he moves the market he can bla bla half a dozen times with no effect, then wham a 50 point speech .
Thanks Fehro, got em for all! You all are very good at this and I normally enter fine (not last one lol was "scary") but this board has helped w my exits....
I am now looking at resistance at the obvious 2000 level w support at the 1970, 50,and my ultimate 1930 range. The vix got close enough to my 18 range....also watchin tlt for all in entry but waiting for 2-3 buck pullback.
On oil, I think better entry third or last week of october based on my cycle...
Nikman, you write "if these guys are correct..." and I of course we don't know.
What we do know is that unless SPX support 1925 and 1890 fail the picture remains bullish. At the very moment SPX is trying to stay above the gray grid line
nikman wrote:If these guys are correct, then this means that no more sub-1960 print on SPX for the next several months???
uempel wrote:Some (smart?) guys are referring to 1998.
But I don't see much similarities between 1998 and 2015. Even though the correction was much stronger in 1998 (22.4% versus 12.4% in 2015) important MAs like 377 were only broken for a couple of days. Whereas SPX has now been trading below this threshold for 30 days.
On the other hand there is this W low, which is a bullish signal. Its span was 27 trading days in 1998 and in 2015 it's the same, exactly 27 trading days. Coincidence? Or did the guys doing the algos just copy the 1998 bottom?
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vol surge, hopefully a pullback here first then we'll see.
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now it's 2nd test of day low, if bears cannot make a decisive new low then game is over, so key time.
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