Econoday saying speech and highlights at 12:20 eastern. Big statistics table on prior reactions to Yellen speeches from one of the banks is up at Zerohedge (if you are having a slow day).
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Bull market rallies are typically supported by wide participation and a "risk on" trader mentality. In my opinion, those rallies are sustainable, meaning that I expect further price appreciation. Over the past week, eight of nine sectors have moved lower with the defensive utilities sector the only exception, climbing 0.31%.
Let's take a long-term look at the S&P 500 with several "risk on" ratios featured to see where they reside with this recent S&P 500 rally:
The rotation in the past several months looks eerily similar to that of 2006-2007, leading to the October 2007 top and just prior to the start of a rather severe bear market. So while we have to respect the current rally as it could certainly materialize into something even stronger, we also have to be cautious as the probabilities of a sustainable rally are diminishing given these relative ratios.
Bull market rallies are typically supported by wide participation and a "risk on" trader mentality. In my opinion, those rallies are sustainable, meaning that I expect further price appreciation. Over the past week, eight of nine sectors have moved lower with the defensive utilities sector the only exception, climbing 0.31%.
Let's take a long-term look at the S&P 500 with several "risk on" ratios featured to see where they reside with this recent S&P 500 rally:
The rotation in the past several months looks eerily similar to that of 2006-2007, leading to the October 2007 top and just prior to the start of a rather severe bear market. So while we have to respect the current rally as it could certainly materialize into something even stronger, we also have to be cautious as the probabilities of a sustainable rally are diminishing given these relative ratios.
Thanks. could not agree more. still believe in range consolidation for current market. despite possible bearish outcome, we might be in similar situation of 94-95 or 2011.
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report. Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE. StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.