01/20/2012 Intraday Watering

[Al_Dente]

GOLD 102?

Baron von Boss
Ouch, classic sell double top?
Could u throw GLD on that one and repost……ONLY when and if u have time….thx

[TWT]

SPX: Another corrective blip or a Leading Diagonal (I) ?

[BullBear52x]

GOLD 102?

Baron von Boss
Ouch, classic sell double top?
Could u throw GLD on that one and repost……ONLY when and if u have time….thx

getting there good sell here with stop right at the top.

[Cobra]

so far this kind of pullback doesn't look like a bear attack.

[Mr. BachNut]

GM,
DBV and TNX is still strong, another 50 cents day today me thinks.

that's really strange, the liquidity inflow suddenly spiked since Wednesday. Don't know what's going on, someone knows something really good ahead of us. Just because I saw the liquidity wasn't strong enough, so I was so sure the top could be around. Now all of sudden everything changed.

Bet on QE3?

I don't know.

It aligns very well with the sell-off in treasuries (and also $) over the last three days. Funds may be sloshing from one market to another.

[cougar]

GM,
DBV and TNX is still strong, another 50 cents day today me thinks.

that's really strange, the liquidity inflow suddenly spiked since Wednesday. Don't know what's going on, someone knows something really good ahead of us. Just because I saw the liquidity wasn't strong enough, so I was so sure the top could be around. Now all of sudden everything changed.

Thanks, that goes well with DBV > 24 market have a hard time to pull back at these level.

...and also compatible with TLT downand TMV up, as an expression of money flow. Right?

[SB73]

Not sure how interested this group is in this gap analysis. I have finished my work for as much as I wanted to know.

My conclusions are as follows
Market has an edge of gapping up as opposed to gapping down 54% vs 46%
The gap up % is almost identical to the gap down % 0.46% vs -0.49%
Gap sizes are double in the last 100 days compared to the 3000 prveious days.
There have been more gaps down of >1% then gaps up.
The frequency of 1% gaps either way has dramatically increased over the last 250 trading days compared to the 3000 trading days database.
Bears have gone 40 days without a gap down greater than 1% during which bulls have had 7 gaps up greater than 1% (longest streak out there)
During 2005/2006 the market had 351 consecutive trading days without a gap greater than 1% either way.
Cobra has been on the right side of overnight gaps 88% of the time.


# Gap Up # Gap Down % Up Gap Up Avg Gap Down Avg Gaps > 1% Frequency Gaps < -1% Frequency
Last 10 6 4 60.0% 0.50% -0.29% 1 10.0% - 0.0%
Last 25 15 9 62.5% 0.64% -0.29% 4 16.0% - 0.0%
Last 50 26 23 53.1% 0.86% -0.50% 9 18.0% 3 6.0%
Last 100 52 47 52.5% 0.88% -0.77% 21 21.0% 13 13.0%
Last 250 130 118 52.4% 0.64% -0.64% 29 11.6% 28 11.2%
Last 500 267 230 53.7% 0.57% -0.58% 43 8.6% 42 8.4%
Last 750 406 341 54.4% 0.59% -0.62% 69 9.2% 68 9.1%
Last 1000 534 462 53.6% 0.66% -0.72% 98 9.8% 110 11.0%
Last 1500 804 680 54.2% 0.54% -0.59% 108 7.2% 121 8.1%
Last 2000 1086 898 54.7% 0.46% -0.50% 109 5.5% 122 6.1%
Last 2500 1344 1136 54.2% 0.46% -0.50% 129 5.2% 150 6.0%
Last 3000 1605 1367 54.0% 0.46% -0.49% 154 5.1% 166 5.5%

[BullBear52x]

GM,
DBV and TNX is still strong, another 50 cents day today me thinks.

that's really strange, the liquidity inflow suddenly spiked since Wednesday. Don't know what's going on, someone knows something really good ahead of us. Just because I saw the liquidity wasn't strong enough, so I was so sure the top could be around. Now all of sudden everything changed.

Thanks, that goes well with DBV > 24 market have a hard time to pull back at these level.

...and also compatible with TLT downand TMV up, as an expression of money flow. Right?

I like to look at TLT also. TLT it's going to fall off a cliff, that should be good to equity normally.

[taggard]

Not sure how interested this group is in this gap analysis. I have finished my work for as much as I wanted to know.

My conclusions are as follows
Market has an edge of gapping up as opposed to gapping down 54% vs 46%
The gap up % is almost identical to the gap down % 0.46% vs -0.49%
Gap sizes are double in the last 100 days compared to the 3000 prveious days.
There have been more gaps down of >1% then gaps up.
The frequency of 1% gaps either way has dramatically increased over the last 250 trading days compared to the 3000 trading days database.
Bears have gone 40 days without a gap down greater than 1% during which bulls have had 7 gaps up greater than 1% (longest streak out there)
During 2005/2006 the market had 351 consecutive trading days without a gap greater than 1% either way.
Cobra has been on the right side of overnight gaps 88% of the time.


# Gap Up # Gap Down % Up Gap Up Avg Gap Down Avg Gaps > 1% Frequency Gaps < -1% Frequency
Last 10 6 4 60.0% 0.50% -0.29% 1 10.0% - 0.0%
Last 25 15 9 62.5% 0.64% -0.29% 4 16.0% - 0.0%
Last 50 26 23 53.1% 0.86% -0.50% 9 18.0% 3 6.0%
Last 100 52 47 52.5% 0.88% -0.77% 21 21.0% 13 13.0%
Last 250 130 118 52.4% 0.64% -0.64% 29 11.6% 28 11.2%
Last 500 267 230 53.7% 0.57% -0.58% 43 8.6% 42 8.4%
Last 750 406 341 54.4% 0.59% -0.62% 69 9.2% 68 9.1%
Last 1000 534 462 53.6% 0.66% -0.72% 98 9.8% 110 11.0%
Last 1500 804 680 54.2% 0.54% -0.59% 108 7.2% 121 8.1%
Last 2000 1086 898 54.7% 0.46% -0.50% 109 5.5% 122 6.1%
Last 2500 1344 1136 54.2% 0.46% -0.50% 129 5.2% 150 6.0%
Last 3000 1605 1367 54.0% 0.46% -0.49% 154 5.1% 166 5.5%

FUN STUFF--PLEASE KEEP POSTING THIS SORT OF THING--THANK YOU

[TWT]

NDX: does not look like a reversal pattern. But mind the gaps

[champix]

Hi All,
Bloody boring market for the last 3 weeks... remind me the begining of 2011!
For who is interested, a couple of charts showing confidence increase from the end of 2011 but a technical correction should come shortly.

[Al_Dente]

Okay, these aren’t really “indicators” per se, they’re just colorful thingies, layered to drive folks nuts….
PS: don’t tell cobra I posted indic…..
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p= ... =253530436

GOOD ONE TABBY (ECB)
Champix where u been?

[climbera5]

Not sure how interested this group is in this gap analysis. I have finished my work for as much as I wanted to know.

My conclusions are as follows
Market has an edge of gapping up as opposed to gapping down 54% vs 46%
The gap up % is almost identical to the gap down % 0.46% vs -0.49%
Gap sizes are double in the last 100 days compared to the 3000 prveious days.
There have been more gaps down of >1% then gaps up.
The frequency of 1% gaps either way has dramatically increased over the last 250 trading days compared to the 3000 trading days database.
Bears have gone 40 days without a gap down greater than 1% during which bulls have had 7 gaps up greater than 1% (longest streak out there)
During 2005/2006 the market had 351 consecutive trading days without a gap greater than 1% either way.
Cobra has been on the right side of overnight gaps 88% of the time.


# Gap Up # Gap Down % Up Gap Up Avg Gap Down Avg Gaps > 1% Frequency Gaps < -1% Frequency
Last 10 6 4 60.0% 0.50% -0.29% 1 10.0% - 0.0%
Last 25 15 9 62.5% 0.64% -0.29% 4 16.0% - 0.0%
Last 50 26 23 53.1% 0.86% -0.50% 9 18.0% 3 6.0%
Last 100 52 47 52.5% 0.88% -0.77% 21 21.0% 13 13.0%
Last 250 130 118 52.4% 0.64% -0.64% 29 11.6% 28 11.2%
Last 500 267 230 53.7% 0.57% -0.58% 43 8.6% 42 8.4%
Last 750 406 341 54.4% 0.59% -0.62% 69 9.2% 68 9.1%
Last 1000 534 462 53.6% 0.66% -0.72% 98 9.8% 110 11.0%
Last 1500 804 680 54.2% 0.54% -0.59% 108 7.2% 121 8.1%
Last 2000 1086 898 54.7% 0.46% -0.50% 109 5.5% 122 6.1%
Last 2500 1344 1136 54.2% 0.46% -0.50% 129 5.2% 150 6.0%
Last 3000 1605 1367 54.0% 0.46% -0.49% 154 5.1% 166 5.5%

How much of this recent gap frequency is due to overnight EU news? I guess until things settle out there we can expect even more gap activity. Now that our markets are more sensitive to international econ news this may be the new norm. Makes me think the rest of the world had to deal with frequent gaps for decades when the US market dominated.

[lcgllc]

Nice H/S on IBM daily in the making...one to watch when earnings season wains...and Europes recession is more defined

[champix]

Okay, these aren’t really “indicators” per se, they’re just colorful thingies, layered to drive folks nuts….
PS: don’t tell cobra I posted indic…..
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p= ... =253530436

GOOD ONE TABBY (ECB)
Champix where u been?

Hi Al Dente,
I was still in the neighborhood, but I really hate this kind of markets : Santa Rally, Gaps up, no corrections...
So I did not trade a lot in december and from the beginning of the year.
I am looking at this market and waiting for the reasonability to come back.
And when wee see the beginning of 2011, that could last 3/4 months...pfffffffffff

[SigmaEcho]

so far this kind of pullback doesn't look like a bear attack.

train slowing down?

[SB73]

Attention dip buyers i.e., every single person on this board. I am a little cautious about buying the dip quite yet. Don't pull your hair out Al, but we rolled over on the MACD hourly chart while many divergences remain in tact. I think we could see 1300 first.

[99er]

Update

RUT http://www.99ercharts.com/archives/216

[BullBear52x]

I can see how determine the bears were, for the bulls it's like " whatever, we are going up any ways"

[Al_Dente]

Okay, these aren’t really “indicators” per se, they’re just colorful thingies, layered to drive folks nuts….
PS: don’t tell cobra I posted indic…..http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p= ... =253530436
GOOD ONE TABBY (ECB) Champix where u been?

Hi Al Dente,I was still in the neighborhood, but I really hate this kind of markets : Santa Rally, Gaps up, no corrections...
So I did not trade a lot in december and from the beginning of the year.
I am looking at this market and waiting for the reasonability to come back.
And when wee see the beginning of 2011, that could last 3/4 months...pfffffffffff

CHAMP
Sil vous plait bla bla bla
Would it kill u to stick around and post more of FRED type stuff, oy what a treat


PAGING Baron von TopHatAndTails
It sure looks turnie toppy toppish topiary 2 me, but BB how many times has she fooled us in the past? What do we know?
Only the Beyonce indicator has been working lately (I’m at work advisory)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_z5fy1w9 ... re=related