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Trades with cats wrote:DellGriffith we are 60 minutes from your potential catalyst. If Grandma is hawkish and that is followed by more later in the week not a good set-up for what is forecasted to be yet another quarter of declining GAAP earnings. Hard to see it otherwise at this time.
Oh yea a new 5 year record of consecutive weeks of insider selling.
however, 7 yr+ lesson, never underestimate the bulls...
Bull market rallies are typically supported by wide participation and a "risk on" trader mentality. In my opinion, those rallies are sustainable, meaning that I expect further price appreciation. Over the past week, eight of nine sectors have moved lower with the defensive utilities sector the only exception, climbing 0.31%.
Let's take a long-term look at the S&P 500 with several "risk on" ratios featured to see where they reside with this recent S&P 500 rally:
The rotation in the past several months looks eerily similar to that of 2006-2007, leading to the October 2007 top and just prior to the start of a rather severe bear market. So while we have to respect the current rally as it could certainly materialize into something even stronger, we also have to be cautious as the probabilities of a sustainable rally are diminishing given these relative ratios.
Thanks. could not agree more. still believe in range consolidation for current market. despite possible bearish outcome, we might be in similar situation of 94-95 or 2011.
You are welcome.
Charts posted are not recommendations. They are just a sharing of information.
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H1 worked, I was wrong. anyway, now 2nd test of day high, 40% chances of double top. let's see.
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