Cobra's Market View

gappy wrote:

KeiZai wrote:XIV triangle or not

KeiZai, what's your best silver guess next 30 hours. I am get'n real close to capitulation here.

Hi gappy tough market imo, I am watching squeeze there and I am slightly bullish short term but sentiment is uber bullish around 90% so I don't see it going too far away
fifty-fifty imo

2 days old pic : ST constructive

stlwater wrote:

Cobra wrote:

jarbo456 wrote:As for everything besides two weeks ago (which was a bit of a doozy):

I was stopped out of NCT and DK, and currently hold ACM, STZ, DAL, GEO, ISIS, KBH, and S.

Overall it looks like this:

DK - (3.85%)
NCT - (2.63%)
ACM - +3.8%
STZ - +4.76
DAL - +3.33%
GEO - +1.08%
ISIS - +9.2% on half closed out, and floating +5.21% on half
KBH - +6.6% on half closed out, and floating +5.54% on half
S - +1.34%

All of these are floating P&L numbers except for the first two which were stop losses.

Thank you, finally someone took it seriously.

Cobra, do you have the avg win/loss ratio, profit factor, sharpe ratio, expectancy or coefficient for this system?

No. don't forget I actually hand picked those stocks. How can I write a program to test them?

top nine SPY stocks (in terms of weighting) top nine QQQ

KeiZai wrote:

gappy wrote:

KeiZai wrote:XIV triangle or not

KeiZai, what's your best silver guess next 30 hours. I am get'n real close to capitulation here.

Hi gappy tough market imo, I am watching squeeze there and I am slightly bullish short term but sentiment is uber bullish around 90% so I don't see it going too far away
fifty-fifty imo

2 days old pic : ST constructive

XAG-19.png

Thank you sir. Guess I bite the bullet til it goes off then.

gappy wrote:

KeiZai wrote:

gappy wrote:

KeiZai wrote:XIV triangle or not

KeiZai, what's your best silver guess next 30 hours. I am get'n real close to capitulation here.

Hi gappy tough market imo, I am watching squeeze there and I am slightly bullish short term but sentiment is uber bullish around 90% so I don't see it going too far away
fifty-fifty imo

2 days old pic : ST constructive

The attachment XAG-19.png is no longer available

Thank you sir. Guess I bite the bullet til it goes off then.

You are welcome mate, so far looks like another BTFD day

The INDU. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1mxaA-bJ35s

relative str

KeiZai wrote:

gappy wrote:

KeiZai wrote:

gappy wrote:

KeiZai wrote:XIV triangle or not

KeiZai, what's your best silver guess next 30 hours. I am get'n real close to capitulation here.

Hi gappy tough market imo, I am watching squeeze there and I am slightly bullish short term but sentiment is uber bullish around 90% so I don't see it going too far away
fifty-fifty imo

2 days old pic : ST constructive

XAG-19.png

Thank you sir. Guess I bite the bullet til it goes off then.

You are welcome mate, so far looks like another BTFD day

ES-21-2.png

Yep, SAR tagged.

Is this an island reversal gap??

I'm neutral here wait. my guess is bears are over again.

Gimme a double top. please.

dagnabbit.

Al_Dente wrote:top nine SPY stocks (in terms of weighting)

321top 9 spy.png

top nine QQQ

321top 9 q.png

Thanks, kind of a Al_Dente Bullish Percentage

Cobra wrote:

stlwater wrote:

Cobra wrote:

jarbo456 wrote:As for everything besides two weeks ago (which was a bit of a doozy):

I was stopped out of NCT and DK, and currently hold ACM, STZ, DAL, GEO, ISIS, KBH, and S.

Overall it looks like this:

DK - (3.85%)
NCT - (2.63%)
ACM - +3.8%
STZ - +4.76
DAL - +3.33%
GEO - +1.08%
ISIS - +9.2% on half closed out, and floating +5.21% on half
KBH - +6.6% on half closed out, and floating +5.54% on half
S - +1.34%

All of these are floating P&L numbers except for the first two which were stop losses.

Thank you, finally someone took it seriously.

Cobra, do you have the avg win/loss ratio, profit factor, sharpe ratio, expectancy or coefficient for this system?

No. don't forget I actually hand picked those stocks. How can I write a program to test them?

I didn't realize you were hand picking. I can write code to back test a base/breakout scenario for stocks at or near 52 week highs. I should say, I will, because I read the article by the 5-min investor author and I liked his reasoning and I like the set-up. When I get it done I'll share what I find on the members board. I'll try to filter for lower volatility and strong trends. This could take a while, I haven't written code in Perl for some time.

messy but a possible invs H&S target 1580ish

5min renko

uempel wrote:

Al_Dente wrote:top nine SPY stocks (in terms of weighting)

321top 9 spy.png

top nine QQQ

321top 9 q.png

Thanks, kind of a Al_Dente Bullish Percentage

Al_Dente wrote:Is this an island reversal gap??

The attachment 321island_png.png is no longer available

Interesting VIX doesn't seem to want to drop here is this a bullish or bearish sign?

GDX is at a critical juncture now. If it can hold 38 for the close then there may be more room to run.

SPY right now is smack down in the middle of its range for the week. Could go either way but a break of 156.8 or 153.6 should indicate direction. Doubt that will happen this week though.

stlwater wrote: I didn't realize you were hand picking. I can write code to back test a base/breakout scenario for stocks at or near 52 week highs. I should say, I will, because I read the article by the 5-min investor author and I liked his reasoning and I like the set-up. When I get it done I'll share what I find on the members board. I'll try to filter for lower volatility and strong trends. This could take a while, I haven't written code in Perl for some time.

Near 52 week highs, doesn't equal to near 52 week high and consolidation, near 52 week highs and consolidation doesn't equal to go straight up for awhile to 52 week high then consolidation, go straight up for awhile to 52 week high then consolidation doesn't mean a narrow range consolidation. Also the format of consolidation has all kinds of pattern, i.e. how you define consolidation?

I believe you can code the pattern, but I think it's difficult code. Even you coded the pattern, how do you measure the target, as it's a Measured Move, you have to use code to find the beginning of the trend.

Simply testing 52 week highs, doesn't represent my picks.

I'm software developer for 20 years and I'm still writing code today, believe me, if I can simply code via using StockCharts scan code, I already did, instead of having to hand pick.