09/15/2015 Live Update

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:32 pm

MrMiyagi wrote:
fehro wrote:more of a push the VIX down to drop the cost of the insurance into tomorrow before it expires then buy it for the FOMC.
VIX expiry is today.

boss i believe VIX expires tomorrow, then FOMC thursday 2pm ET, then SPY ex-dividend friday

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:37 pm

MrMiyagi wrote:
fehro wrote:more of a push the VIX down to drop the cost of the insurance into tomorrow before it expires then buy it for the FOMC.
VIX expiry is today.

Yup, for the options.

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:39 pm

Trades with cats wrote:We have had a lot of bad economic news this week. It is clear the US economy is teetering on the edge of recession. At the beginning of the year the experts all predicted the usual hockey stick recovery with strength at the last half of the year. That has worked out very poorly so far. China and Japan are not exactly doing well either. So clearly we are back to bad news is good news, how could they possibly raise rates at this time. So if they do watch out below. The difference this time is they have not started printing again, that is when we will get the big rally.

+1/8 rate to save face = market down.
+1/4 rate = market up.. things must be rosy
no change = market down .. things must be really bad

Post by **Cobra** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:43 pm

vol surge, so rebound here? pullback over?

Post by **Cobra** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:45 pm

fehro wrote:
Trades with cats wrote:We have had a lot of bad economic news this week. It is clear the US economy is teetering on the edge of recession. At the beginning of the year the experts all predicted the usual hockey stick recovery with strength at the last half of the year. That has worked out very poorly so far. China and Japan are not exactly doing well either. So clearly we are back to bad news is good news, how could they possibly raise rates at this time. So if they do watch out below. The difference this time is they have not started printing again, that is when we will get the big rally.
+1/8 rate to save face = market down.
+1/4 rate = market up.. things must be rosy
no change = market down .. things must be really bad

i agree, a 0.25 rate hike is the best option.

MrMiyagi · Post by **MrMiyagi** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:47 pm

boss i believe VIX expires tomorrow, then FOMC thursday 2pm ET, then SPY ex-dividend friday

fehro wrote:Yup, for the options.

Today is the last day to trade the options, tomorrow is the month's expiry.

So we're all right I guess

Post by **Cobra** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:51 pm

members only update at 3:50 pm
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2015/09 ... ay-update/

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:53 pm

INDEX 20d's saved.. retest tomorrow? or during FED FOMC fireworks

Post by **Cobra** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:53 pm

well, guess that's it for today. Wednesday tomorrow has been bull friendly. thank you guys, I'll see you tomorrow.

before the close, please take a little time to vote for me, thanks. https://stockcharts.com/public/1684859/tenpp

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 3:59 pm

Regardless of all our bla bla…
The markets (especially the fed funds futures) are pricing in a NO RATE HIKE
So a hike would be a MAJOR SURPRISE

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Tue Sep 15, 2015 4:07 pm

Al_Dente wrote:Regardless of all our bla bla…
The markets (especially the fed funds futures) are pricing in a NO RATE HIKE
So a hike would be a MAJOR SURPRISE

A major surprise would be QE !

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