The interesting thing here is how market reacts to the news from eurozone. When Draghi hinted more QE (i.e. economy is bad), market went up; now eurozone/germany PMI beats market go up again. so both bad news and good news are good?
You can see clearly that every time MACD got to extremes either high or low, it led to a major reversal. Of course it doesn't mean it has to happen today. Could be next week or two weeks from now. Even a month from now.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
ES: Currently, I have hourly extreme overbought signal flashing aggressive short.
Remember, last night's extreme oversold signal 2066 buy that gifted us a 2076 target trade that was fulfilled this morning. I'm not taking it yet, executed winrate 80%
the spread between the 5 day ema and the 20day ema on the nasdaq most extreme its been or its going to get (on the long side) in 3 years. Interestingly enough this is right after its the most extreme its been to the sell side in many years.
COMP_5-10-20_Xover_02NOV15.tiff (112.15 KiB) Viewed 6909 times
Last edited by Tutti on Mon Nov 02, 2015 2:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Yes, MACD is high, and high MACD is eventually followed by lower MACD. But I believe the focus on its magnitude is misplaced. All MA are higher now because SPY is higher. A clearer picture emerges if one uses MACD %.
Unique wrote:ES: Currently, I have hourly extreme overbought signal flashing aggressive short.
Remember, last night's extreme oversold signal 2066 buy that gifted us a 2076 target trade that was fulfilled this morning. I'm not taking it yet, executed winrate 80%
I see no weakness intraday to call for counter trend, now I am looking at 2092.5, since we got HH intraday bulls got one buy dip coupon still, Megaphone is not easy to day trade.
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My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.