vol surge, might be a pullback here first then we'll see. if this is range day, the pullback would be sharp.
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pullback too sharp which means it's just a range day. now going to range low which may not be the day low though.
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Pagat wrote:not trading options
if someone buys february butterfly 187/193/197 what he expect
plain english please
crap shot. you are betting that price will be near 193 by opex. also, it seems, if you are long butterfly, dropping volatility will be playing against you.
Just eyeballing it but at this point, we need a sharp selloff into the close or my SPY renko system will generate a buy signal at the end of the day. As detailed, that thing is like 11-1 in last 12.
That means it will likely fail spectacularly like everything else I post lol.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
Why sell the rip on USO this time will fail, because USO bears are so relax that it always works. sell at mid BB just like any thing else on trend following methods it doesn't last but just can not discount it either.
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My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.