josephli wrote:
I agree Fed does not want interest rate to perk up...
Do they really have a choice? If they do not raise rates they loose all credibility. No rate increase (FED has no idea, Market looses all faith in FED) = Market down. imho.
I’m also thinking of the “synthetic QE”
FED still “reinvests” proceeds from their maturing bonds
I think they still buy agencies/agency’s with the proceeds
Some trillions [?]…… gappy often posts numbers … is he here today?
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
josephli wrote:
I agree Fed does not want interest rate to perk up...
Do they really have a choice? If they do not raise rates they loose all credibility. No rate increase (FED has no idea, Market looses all faith in FED) = Market down. imho.
you are very right boss. I feel the same. with all the core inflation and unemployment target clearly spelled out, they really don't have a choice. on the other hand, I feel they have been looking at wrong metrics to assess the condition of economy (they don't put much weight on retail and housing). the coupled with the thought that energy price is transitory with regards to inflation, the decision to raise rate in december seems a mistake to me.
Market knows, a trade high enough will triggered sell the rip on mid term, low enough will triggered the chase down or dumping. lets do the sideways action for few more days shall we?
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
josephli wrote:
I agree Fed does not want interest rate to perk up...
Do they really have a choice? If they do not raise rates they loose all credibility. No rate increase (FED has no idea, Market looses all faith in FED) = Market down. imho.
..meaning rate increase.. they 4 had scheduled for the year.. 1 per Quarter?