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09/15/2012 Weekend Update

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KeiZai
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

So now when we have this commodity mania, sugar anyone?

I used to play it through IPSU but I cannot find their symbol...WTF happened to them? Anyone know similar good sugar company?

Sugar
Sugar.png

My super fancy TN10year chart :D (on the support ladies and gentlemen)
Attachments
TN10fancy.png
Last edited by KeiZai on Sun Sep 16, 2012 7:07 pm, edited 2 times in total.
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
ClarkW
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by ClarkW »

LAST ONE: Providing this charts for fun, NOT RECOMMENDATIONS. Curious if stocks that interest me interest others...that's all

This one has a nice 7.1% dividend to boot. Looks like a nice breakout on heavier volume but Friday was a big day, maybe wait for a pullback
Attachments
LINE Daily 09.16.12.png
ClarkW
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by ClarkW »

KeiZai wrote:So now that we have this commodity mania, sugar anyone?

I used to play it through IPSU but I cannot find there symbol...WTF happened to them? Anyone know similar good sugar company?

Sugar
Sugar.png

My super fancy TN10year chart :D (on the support ladies and gentlemen)
Sugar ETF is SGG
ClarkW
Posts: 1325
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2011 11:28 am

Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by ClarkW »

KeiZai, How about a little COFFEE with your SUGAR? JO is the coffee ETF

Sentimentrader has net short positions in COFFEE at a 7 year high
Also has net short positions in SUGAR as fairly high but not extreme. Wish I could figure out how to attach their COT charts....
Attachments
$COFFEE Daily 09.16.12.png
$COFFEE Weekly 09.16.12.png
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KeiZai
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Location: EUROPE

Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

ClarkW wrote:
KeiZai wrote:So now that we have this commodity mania, sugar anyone?

I used to play it through IPSU but I cannot find there symbol...WTF happened to them? Anyone know similar good sugar company?

Sugar
Sugar.png

My super fancy TN10year chart :D (on the support ladies and gentlemen)
Sugar ETF is SGG
Thanks like it :mrgreen:
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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KeiZai
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

ClarkW wrote:KeiZai, How about a little COFFEE with your SUGAR? JO is the coffee ETF

Sentimentrader has net short positions in COFFEE at a 7 year high
Also has net short positions in SUGAR as fairly high but not extreme. Wish I could figure out how to attach their COT charts....

Not looking bad, 61.8 from feb lows held well, I would wait how will hold 172, added on the watchlist ;) thanks!
coffee.png

EDIT: But there is possibility that she is in the 4th wave in the triangle, but definitely worth watching!
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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KeiZai
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

ClarkW wrote: Wish I could figure out how to attach their COT charts....
Try http://www.screenpresso.com/ I am using it to steal good ideas from webinars :mrgreen: Good stuff


check out the promo with good music :D : http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=pl ... y4HHmlmoLo#!

Free tool btw ;)
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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Al_Dente
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

916wknd1974.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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KeiZai
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

Al_Dente wrote:
The attachment 916wknd1974.png is no longer available
Senor it is crossed already or just close?

Dollar seasonal chart
zDX2.gif
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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Al_Dente
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

KeiZai wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:
916wknd1974.png
Senor it is crossed already or just close?...
Not crossed yet boss
What we have here is:
1) The mother of all H&S
2) Testing highs
3) Double or triple top
4) Mofo all time high coming ...
5) Very low volume supply zone
6) “Open-ended” QE3

[note: #1 to #4 are guessing]
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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Al_Dente
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

here is a zoom 4 u boss
916wknd1992.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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KeiZai
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

Al_Dente wrote:
KeiZai wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:
The attachment 916wknd1974.png is no longer available
Senor it is crossed already or just close?...
Not crossed yet boss
What we have here is:
1) The mother of all H&S
2) Testing highs
3) Double or triple top
4) Mofo all time high coming ...
5) Very low volume supply zone
6) “Open-ended” QE3

[note: #1 to #4 are guessing]
oy that´s bad :D

I am using EMA 4, 14 on monthly with lines through crossed points, but now is the first time I see it tagging the upper line so in kind of wait-and-see mode how it works :lol:

P.S: these long term charts are awesome (yours), thanks see ya tmr!
SP-m.png
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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Al_Dente
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

My favorite risk-on/risk-off ratio recently did that breathtaking honey-badger bull spike.
But the PPO 1,39,1, which describes the 5% trend, is showing that it may need a breather soon (pink circle, top panel)
916wkndrisk.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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Cobra
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

Wow, 5 pages. Did I come to the wrong place? Is this a regular trading day thread? :o

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Al_Dente
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Cobra wrote:Wow, 5 pages. Did I come to the wrong place? Is this a regular trading day thread? :o
:lol: :lol: :lol:
Thanks for your excellent work over on your subscription page, Cobie.
And your vote link reminded me to vote for you again today :mrgreen:
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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KeiZai
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by KeiZai »

Playing only long-side is not the best thing especially near all-time highs :arrow: diversification of risk is good idea here

This one looks as good vehicle for me
PApa.png
PApa2.png
Attachments
Papa3.png
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
TradingJackal
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by TradingJackal »

Well...well...well...

A 7 point gap down on ES. Another 3 points down already. 10 points in an hour of trading. Gap down open tomorrow with BTFDers buying throughout the day tomorrow. Then gap down again by the opening the day after.

EDIT: They shifted the futures to the December expiry. Hence the 7 point drop which is the difference between Dec ES and fairvalue.
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SPX 500(1 Minute)20120916175141.png
Last edited by TradingJackal on Sun Sep 16, 2012 7:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Al_Dente
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Al_Dente »

The SHORT TERM pendulum has swung a bit far towards optimism = call buying.
CPCE has entered a top zone. Sentiment is just one indicator of direction, but equity-option traders haven’t been this optimistic since March.
The top signal prior to that was in January, when it just needed a few days pullback to breathe and “reset” before continuing the climb.

Inverted this becomes the equity-only, call-to-put ratio, with a 5ma
Note: it hasn’t turned down yet, which means it can go higher… It’s just another “caution” signal
916wkndcpce.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
TradingJackal
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by TradingJackal »

In the Leading diagonal, 1,3 and 5 are 127.2 extensions. Perfect!
Though 2 is 30.9 retrace, it gives a great place
to launch 3 down. 200 fib extension of 1 should be 3. Seen this
a few times when 3 is either 1.618 or 1.272 times 1.

Seeing 3 finish at below 1449.
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^SP500 (1 Min)  9_14_2012.png
There are no bulls or bears in the market. Only wolves and sheep.
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Cobra
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Re: 09/15/2012 Weekend Update

Post by Cobra »

TradingJackal wrote:Well...well...well...

A 7 point gap down on ES. Another 3 points down already. 10 points in an hour of trading. Gap down open tomorrow with BTFDers buying throughout the day tomorrow. Then gap down again by the opening the day after.

EDIT: They shifted the futures to the December expiry. Hence the 7 point drop which is the difference between Dec ES and fairvalue.
Here is ES now, looks not bad.
Attachments
5.png

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