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11/19/2012 Live Update

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Al_Dente
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Royal Flush wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:
rusrod wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:PAGING RUSROD
Here, boss. Looking for first of break of short red trends (since in counter trend position) or MA break to down side.
THANKS boss :mrgreen:
Here is the issue with VXX, UVXY while still in contango
SDS (bear ETF 2x) in the last bear run went from ~52 to ~61 (purple behind price), while VXX and UVXY were disappointing....
Thanks AD, I'm trying to figure out how to back test VIX front month and back month futures then I can try to figure contango/backwardation. I believe that with this information I can select the appropriate vehicle for a swing trade. I believe that XIV would have been preferable to SSO in the current long. If what I've said previously is invalid how do you (or anyone else) suggest I select the correct ETF :?: ...
Harapa is the king of the backtest, not me, I consider it a success if I can just find my F5 key :mrgreen:

Keep it simple boss
Everything is keyed off SPY… why not start there MAYBE
Long = SPY 1x (boring) or long SSO (2x) or long UPRO (wacky 3x)
Short = SH 1x (boring) or short SDS (2x) or short SPXU (wacky 3x)
Then just grow from there
IMHO only my 2 cents GL2u

This is the best auto-updated (Harapa) page for showing VIX contango (upward sloping curve = contango)
http://www.cboe.com/data/volatilityinde ... dexes.aspx
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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KeiZai
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by KeiZai »

SPX
imma.png
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
Heck
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Heck »

Jesse Livermore in 1924 was accused of promoting the President and banned from WSJ because he was bullish when most were bears:

"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon.”
TraderGirl
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

If anyone is looking for a lower low...then hope that if we pullback from here, we don't print a higher high than this wave (c or 3)....it can continue to go slightly higher from here, just can't pullback and get a higher high...we don't want a wave 5...

Monday's turn looks like it was up...my charts are either shifted a day or the pullback could start at anytime... Wednesday's turn looks like down... Friday's aspects are negative...
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Al_Dente
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

KeiZai wrote:Greeting from panda to all bears :D
The attachment happy_panda.jpg is no longer available
hi panda
kiss the bear.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
uempel
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by uempel »

Update:
45.png
rusrod
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by rusrod »

This is indicating caution...
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KeiZai
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by KeiZai »

Al_Dente wrote:
KeiZai wrote:Greeting from panda to all bears :D
happy_panda.jpg
hi panda
kiss the bear.png
Hello bear :mrgreen:
My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market (Jess Livermore)
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Me XMan
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Me XMan »

Shorting SPY $138.60 ;)
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Petsamo
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Petsamo »

Heck wrote:Jesse Livermore in 1924 was accused of promoting the President and banned from WSJ because he was bullish when most were bears:

"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon.”
If you're bullish, there are plenty of beat up stocks you can buy, AMD, MCP, CLF, USO, WLT, X, etc.
The coal sector (KOL), miners (XME), steel (SLX), Russel 2000 (IWM) are beat up, etc.
PHK's dividend yield is currently 13.1%. Double your money in 5 years with PHK.

So what are you going long on ?
Twitter @jackwag0n
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MrMiyagi
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Post by MrMiyagi »

Out TNA from Thursday and you all know what that means right??? MARKETS GO HIGHER AND HIGHER!!!
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Al_Dente
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

HARAPA
Re: Wm%R
1. Do u need it to go above 50, or is any lift ok?
2. Did u test Wm%R = 144?
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
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Cobra
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

I'm not happy with this pullback (a failed breakout) but so far the chart is not bad yet. lunch time, will be back.
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fehro
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by fehro »

mid channel?or 1368ish?
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Al_Dente
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

fehro wrote:mid channel?or 1368ish?
Your H&Ss have been dang good lately
Also your macd cross and sto cross and etc
THANKS boss :mrgreen:
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Wallstreetrader
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Wallstreetrader »

H&S Topish ?

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MrMiyagi
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Post by MrMiyagi »

79.png
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L_T
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by L_T »

Petsamo wrote:
Heck wrote:Jesse Livermore in 1924 was accused of promoting the President and banned from WSJ because he was bullish when most were bears:

"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon.”
If you're bullish, there are plenty of beat up stocks you can buy, AMD, MCP, CLF, USO, WLT, X, etc.
The coal sector (KOL), miners (XME), steel (SLX), Russel 2000 (IWM) are beat up, etc.
PHK's dividend yield is currently 13.1%. Double your money in 5 years with PHK.

So what are you going long on ?
The chart for X is not good. Look at today's candle. If the market weakens again (likely given the prevailing trend) I want puts in X.

USO is on my radar. The trend is down for now but I want to slip into that one when the trend changes.
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MrMiyagi
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Post by MrMiyagi »

QQQ, DIA and IWM all have downbars.
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Petsamo
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Re: 11/19/2012 Live Update

Post by Petsamo »

L_T wrote:
Petsamo wrote:
Heck wrote:Jesse Livermore in 1924 was accused of promoting the President and banned from WSJ because he was bullish when most were bears:

"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon.”
If you're bullish, there are plenty of beat up stocks you can buy, AMD, MCP, CLF, USO, WLT, X, etc.
The coal sector (KOL), miners (XME), steel (SLX), Russel 2000 (IWM) are beat up, etc.
PHK's dividend yield is currently 13.1%. Double your money in 5 years with PHK.

So what are you going long on ?
The chart for X is not good. Look at today's candle. If the market weakens again (likely given the prevailing trend) I want puts in X.

USO is on my radar. The trend is down for now but I want to slip into that one when the trend changes.
I'm not in X, but I went into VALE Friday. I can sell it on Wednesday.
Twitter @jackwag0n
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