Back to www.cobrasmarketview.com

01/23/2013 Live Update

Post Reply
User avatar
Harapa
Posts: 1236
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2011 1:33 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Harapa »

uempel wrote:
uempel wrote:
Harapa wrote:VIXies Update:
This bull leg will end but not until these clowns start to sing a different tune. :geek:
Currently Bullish Equities. :D
EDIT: Chart appears weird but clicking on it makes it right. Go figure!
Harapa, if I add your chart to my two charts (just below) I see that the aapl results after the close will be positive and help the index to jump over 1494 resistance... :roll: But I'm going to check a long term chart now, pls wait 5 minutes, ok?
Long term chart shows massive resistance at 1494
63.png
I like this out come. Market get over this 1494 and shoot for 1550 :lol: :lol: :lol:
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
bullbear12
Posts: 20
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 10:38 am

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by bullbear12 »

The Citi US Macro index has turned negative for the first time since early September and this has had a correlation with the market in the past.
Attachments
The Citi US Macro index has turned negative for the first time since early September and this has had a correlation with the market in the past.
The Citi US Macro index has turned negative for the first time since early September and this has had a correlation with the market in the past.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Harapa wrote:
Al_Dente wrote: stockcharts symbol is CVOL
I follow that too as it is one of the only/the only mega-stock where u can track single-stock volatility.
I believe the brains at stockcharts should realize its value soon, and start adding symbols for other single-stock vol
How u doin’ today boss :D
I am fine :D
CVOL/CVOLT is not based on a single stock. But it is structured differently than VIX family..
http://www.c-tracksetns.com/
I thought it was volatility for C (Citigroup)
I’ve been using its inverse to track C
What the hell is it then? [oh, ok, i'll study that link later thanks :mrgreen: ]

OT
Hey smarty-pants: :twisted:
The most compelling info of the day was the Bespoke IBM-as-bellwether data that Cobra linked us to this morning, it cannot be ignored, if only because those are BIG percentages….
123c.png
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 61830
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

not a double top but still the rebound is not strong. bears are not dead yet. tint area is 100% MM target. bulls need do more than that though.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
Claudio.dicorato
Posts: 68
Joined: Wed Nov 28, 2012 8:33 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Claudio.dicorato »

Cobra if we start retracment is not strong for Now....i don't know yet!!!
uempel
Posts: 8685
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 6:38 am

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by uempel »

I'm not sure how good this signal is and it might be a waste of time. The only interesting aspect of the signal is that we might see how big traders are positioning themselves prior aapl earnings.
65.png
User avatar
Harapa
Posts: 1236
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2011 1:33 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Harapa »

Al_Dente wrote:The most compelling info of the day was the Bespoke IBM-as-bellwether data that Cobra linked us to this morning, it cannot be ignored, if only because those are BIG percentages….
Agree and as Uempel said Apple's earnings may help push the SP500 above 1494 and then to the moon! :lol: :lol: :lol:
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Harapa wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:The most compelling info of the day was the Bespoke IBM-as-bellwether data that Cobra linked us to this morning, it cannot be ignored, if only because those are BIG percentages….
Agree and as Uempel said Apple's earnings may help push the SP500 above 1494 and then to the moon! :lol: :lol: :lol:
So am I correct in saying that the last chart u posted is your own personal version of the “Volatility Term Structure” ?
If so, I’ll have to figure out how to borrowsteal that one :o
As I can’t get shite out of the CBOEs “Volatility Term Structure” crap chart
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
TraderJoe
Posts: 881
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 7:08 am
Location: USA

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by TraderJoe »

Top Trucking Economist Warns Q1 Will Be Weak
Truckers saw the Great Recession coming before anyone else. So it pays to pay close attention to what they have to say.

The above is true, I use to manufacture the air brakes for trucks and boy o boy did it slow down. I saw the recession coming at least 8 months prior.
User avatar
Kato
Posts: 49
Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2011 12:57 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Kato »

bullbear12 wrote:The Citi US Macro index has turned negative for the first time since early September and this has had a correlation with the market in the past.

Thanks bullbear12. What this chart makes glaringly obvious is that the stockmarket has ceased to be a discounting mechanism for the economy. Notice how moves in the market actually lag the macro data. It has become a discounting mechanism for centralbank liquidity operations instead.
User avatar
Harapa
Posts: 1236
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2011 1:33 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Harapa »

Al_Dente wrote:So am I correct in saying that the last chart u posted is your own personal version of the “Volatility Term Structure” ?
If so, I’ll have to figure out how to borrowsteal that one
oy, and this smarty pants forgot to put a copyright sign on it. Now it is stolen :( :( :(
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Harapa wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:So am I correct in saying that the last chart u posted is your own personal version of the “Volatility Term Structure” ?
If so, I’ll have to figure out how to borrowsteal that one
oy, and this smarty pants forgot to put a copyright sign on it. Now it is stolen :( :( :(
so that is a YES, correct? yes it is your vol term struct?

OT
re-posting Cobra's link to bespoke/ibm for my pm buddy
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/as-goes ... he-market/
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
Cobra
Site Admin
Posts: 61830
Joined: Sat Feb 12, 2011 10:29 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

trend line support. my wild-est-est-est guess.
Attachments
1.png

Like to read more of my commentaries? Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
Subscribers can find all the members only posts HERE.
StockCharts members, please vote for me HERE, thanks.
User avatar
Harapa
Posts: 1236
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2011 1:33 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Harapa »

Al_Dente wrote:so that is a YES, correct? yes it is your vol term struct?
Yes
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
User avatar
BullBear52x
Posts: 30707
Joined: Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:47 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

My new AD study give a sell alert, no go yet just an alert for now. Thanks to Mr. M for the :idea: use new high as a stop, so far this 20 day old new in the tool box were looking good in line with my other holy grail.
Attachments
1.JPG
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Harapa wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:so that is a YES, correct? yes it is your vol term struct?
Yes
Boss I’m getting really bored with these higher lows and higher highs
mmmmmmm here’s a true story/time waster:
husband or cat.png
husband or cat.png (153.16 KiB) Viewed 3706 times
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
User avatar
Harapa
Posts: 1236
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2011 1:33 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Harapa »

Al_Dente wrote:Boss I’m getting really bored with these higher lows and higher high
GO long , stay long, and be happy
by the order of BB of FRB of USA
Above is provided for informational purposes only and shouldn't be considered an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell anything.
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

skittlesmds wrote:
TraderJoe wrote:
skittlesmds wrote:Anyone heard from TraderGirl recently? I haven't seen her post in a while.
YES, she is A-OK
Please tell her that we need some turn dates. :lol: Tired of this low vix. :D
Hi Skittles...sometimes in this bullish enviro...the turns don't have affect...when they start to take affect then they are more relevant...this week, the turns are Tues, Weds and Friday...

It seems that we could start to see some volatility after the 30th or so...which correlates with FOMC meeting 29/30th.

Maybe we see some negativity towards the end of the week...?? Jan-March 2011, I had so many turns, and nothing happened...

BUT!! My long term chart, which has been spot on for two years says we see a major top around 14,000 on the Dow..could overshoot or undershoot by a couple hundred points...
TraderGirl
Posts: 5031
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2011 2:47 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by TraderGirl »

Al_Dente wrote:
Harapa wrote:
Al_Dente wrote:so that is a YES, correct? yes it is your vol term struct?
Yes
Boss I’m getting really bored with these higher lows and higher highs
mmmmmmm here’s a true story/time waster:
husband or cat.png
I'll take the husband, he's cute!! :D :D
User avatar
Al_Dente
Posts: 28535
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 2:29 pm

Re: 01/23/2013 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

BullBear52x wrote:My new AD study give a sell alert, no go yet just an alert for now. Thanks to Mr. M for the :idea: use new high as a stop, so far this 20 day old new in the tool box were looking good in line with my other holy grail.
Boss try using 19/39/1 instead of the inverse 39/19/1
Rocket_Man 88 gave that to us last year
And Cobra confirmed it last year
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
Post Reply