Page 1 of 5

02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 9:51 am
by Cobra
If you're StockCharts member, please do me a little favor by "vote" and the most importantly "follow" my public chart list HERE. You need "follow" only once but vote can be done everyday, so whenever you have time, please vote for me, thanks! If you're not StockCharts member, you can also help boosting my rank by clicking the link once everyday.
  • Please, again, all my calls in the daily live update is for intra-day only, they're absolutely invalid when the closing bell rings. If you're interested in the forecast for days and weeks, Please subscribe my Daily Market Report.
  • Personal attack on any board members won't be tolerated. Please limit your topic to trade related only.
  • Please no direct link to your personal web site or blog. You must post rich contents here. You can, however, put link to your personal web site or blog as your signature.
  • I'm very busy during the trading hour, so your question posted on board might not be answered. For a guaranteed answer to your question please send email to [email protected].
========================================================================================================================================================================

I'll have meeting whole day today, so the update will be slow. It's the last day of 2 days meeting, the update will be normal next week. Usually the day after a wide range day is narrow range day, so today is boring anyway.

I don't see any pattern worth of blah blah but I see nothing wrong yet on the bull side. Maybe the up momentum is a little bit weakened which is normal, after it's up a lot for the past 6 days.

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 9:53 am
by Cobra

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 9:54 am
by koolblue
heres a general look as we come into the open 8-)

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:20 am
by koolblue
heres the first line ...1721.75 and may be good for a bounce,but im going to wait for 1819 and change to try a buy scalp

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:20 am
by fehro
SPX 5m... minor bearish rising wedge.. mind the lower gap, and red trend

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:36 am
by koolblue
well, that turned out be be a nice lttle scalp. Most of the time i just go for 2 handles and use a 2 point stop. Sometimes i will cover one at a profit of 1.5-2 handles and let the runner ride. Thats just how i do my scalp trading. Probably not very useful to most of you.

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:39 am
by uempel
Update:
SPX7.png

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:43 am
by Zane
fehro wrote:SPX 5m... minor bearish rising wedge.. mind the lower gap, and red trend
thoughts on the vix?
falling bull or a bear flag?

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:44 am
by fehro
SPX 5m

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:46 am
by fehro
Zane wrote:
fehro wrote:SPX 5m... minor bearish rising wedge.. mind the lower gap, and red trend
thoughts on the vix?
falling bull or a bear flag?
VIX 15m messy, weak at the moment... RSI trying to get above 50

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:51 am
by fehro
SPX 15m... possible green bearish rising wedge.. should we chop around within the wedge.. could break red trend and retest within the wedge.. break green and red then maybe more downside to come.... mind open gaps above, and below...

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:57 am
by Cobra

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:57 am
by Cobra
range with up bias.

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:58 am
by Zane
fehro wrote:SPX 15m... possible green bearish rising wedge.. should we chop around within the wedge.. could break red trend and retest within the wedge.. break green and red then maybe more downside to come.... mind open gaps above, and below...
think i will wait for the vix to be within 13s
thx mate

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:59 am
by fehro
bad data?.. a few different symbols have it.... on a few platforms

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 11:08 am
by Zane
fehro wrote:
Zane wrote:
fehro wrote:SPX 5m... minor bearish rising wedge.. mind the lower gap, and red trend
thoughts on the vix?
falling bull or a bear flag?
VIX 15m messy, weak at the moment... RSI trying to get above 50
thx mate, i guess will wait for the 13s

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 11:14 am
by rhight
Since parallels are all the rage these days, I've noticed an extraordinary similarity to the last week of June 2011 - you can do the math, but suffice to say that if the pattern were to follow, the current TL from the 2/5 low is important and a break down of that and the 60 min 20ma (SPX) COULD mark the end of the current Daily swing high.

At the same time, there is a positive price reversal on the RSI (again, similar to 6/11) that points to 1844. Also, if the retrace were to match that of the May-June 2011 period, then that would work out to ~1837 today or Monday. Otherwise, it's too the moon!

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 11:20 am
by uempel
Update on the SPX 1833 target:
SPX14.png

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 11:22 am
by uempel
Rhight, you might be right here :lol: :lol: :lol:

rhight wrote:Since parallels are all the rage these days, I've noticed an extraordinary similarity to the last week of June 2011 - you can do the math, but suffice to say that if the pattern were to follow, the current TL from the 2/5 low is important and a break down of that and the 60 min 20ma (SPX) COULD mark the end of the current Daily swing high.

At the same time, there is a positive price reversal on the RSI (again, similar to 6/11) that points to 1844. Also, if the retrace were to match that of the May-June 2011 period, then that would work out to ~1837 today or Monday. Otherwise, it's too the moon!

Re: 02/14/2014 Live Update

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 11:23 am
by rhight
rhight wrote:Since parallels are all the rage these days, I've noticed an extraordinary similarity to the last week of June 2011 - you can do the math, but suffice to say that if the pattern were to follow, the current TL from the 2/5 low is important and a break down of that and the 60 min 20ma (SPX) COULD mark the end of the current Daily swing high.

At the same time, there is a positive price reversal on the 60 min RSI (again, similar to 6/11) that points to 1844. Also, if the retrace were to match that of the May-June 2011 period, then that would work out to ~1837 today or Monday. Otherwise, it's too the moon!
Here I am, quoting myself. Jeez :lol:
What I want to add is that the 60 min RSI positive price reversal of 7/1/11 calculated out to 1354, and was confirmed in the next trading day when the market topped at 1356.5 (just after a holiday weekend!)