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01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 6:17 pm
by Cobra
The institutional buying and selling chart (courtesy of stocktiming) shows a little more distribution than accumulation, that might be helping on bear case, because technically we're in range, but you can see from the chart that even when rebounds from range low to range high, the distribution is mostly larger than accumulation, so the chart I read as bearish biased.
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 6:34 pm
by Cobra
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 6:40 pm
by MrMiyagi
Have a good weekend everyone, I'll be super annoyed hearing nothing but Superbowl crap (nah.. not a sports fan..)
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 7:22 pm
by fehro
Candles Monthly/Weekly/Daily
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 7:23 pm
by fehro
T2 /Yields
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 7:24 pm
by fehro
Industry Indexes % Weekly
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 7:43 pm
by fehro
another Yield chart fwiw.. longer term.. 5/10/30.. all I can plot on TC2000.. anyhow… bottom charts same scale. 30yr … new multi-year lows… lower than 2008 spike lows.
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 8:05 pm
by fehro
fehro wrote:Industry Indexes % Weekly
Seems a lot of red on those boards… below Industry Indexes in no particular order.. with less <10/20/50/200 etc..
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 8:32 pm
by Cobra
preview of the next week's stock picks.
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=1567
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Fri Jan 30, 2015 9:53 pm
by JTrader
Someone posted this relationship a while back. USB:SPX
This chart is screaming to get long. Either that, or something really bad is about to happen. An implosion of great magnitude. I'm building longs for the bullish case.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USB:$ ... 2937292665
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 1:11 am
by Unique
Copy pasting from what I posted on cobrasmarketview:
Here's the daily/weekly/monthly SPY charts. Easy money bears? Yeah.
Daily candles show Jan 28 large bear close on lows, Jan 29 was stick save at support, today bear engulfing continuation. Thus, Monday/Tuesday high probability of red/breakdown.
This is even more apparent on the Weekly SPY chart, bear engulfing week. Continuation next week bears or bust.
Gallery link:
http://imgur.com/a/VAhDS
In addition to what was posted previously.
It's important to note that for those unprepared this time if 200DMA breaks convincingly on the daily scale then the momentum for weekly and monthly scale hinders significantly. It would open up a bloodbath for short/intermediate-term bulls(this is 7th year bull market already). Eh, more volatility the better - easier to make money.
Chart album:
http://imgur.com/a/fYo4S
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 1:19 am
by fehro
JTrader wrote:Someone posted this relationship a while back. USB:SPX
This chart is screaming to get long. Either that, or something really bad is about to happen. An implosion of great magnitude. I'm building longs for the bullish case.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USB:$ ... 2937292665
very interesting… couple different looks on another chart longer time frames... $USB:$SPX vs $SPX.. log scale, and arithmetic… and same deal with GOLD/USD/WTIC/FED RATES… Arithmetic top / log scale bottom..
seems the curve up in the pink area is a little concerning… more noticeable top chart bottom panel.. log scale.
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 8:14 am
by nysefloortrader
love the fact that bears are looking for a SELL off or CRASH here.
Do not be surprised if we see them get hung out to dry in FEB, just a guess.
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 8:42 am
by DellGriffith
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 1:08 pm
by DellGriffith
So, crash on monday?
It sure seems like it.
The powerful close at the lows says to expect more down. More down will push past resistance at the lower bb and open the floodgates. Right at monday's open.
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 1:28 pm
by Eddie
It seems all bloggers are expecting the trading range to break down, and a correction to ensue. The fact that so many people are expecting it simply makes me wonder if Mr. Market might have tricks up his sleeve.
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 1:33 pm
by brucekeller
We are screwed guys... just saw this on my FB:

Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 5:58 pm
by johnnywa
DellGriffith wrote:So, crash on monday?
It sure seems like it.
The powerful close at the lows says to expect more down. More down will push past resistance at the lower bb and open the floodgates. Right at monday's open.
Del ,gap down to 1973 bounce from there then test around 1900?
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:49 pm
by DellGriffith
added 5 waves down ABCDE. Basically that is the bull case. That we now have ABCDE and the drop on monday will be the capitulation low, followed immediately by a roaring rally.
Re: 01/31/2015 Weekend Update
Posted: Sun Feb 01, 2015 11:36 am
by DellGriffith
brucekeller wrote:We are screwed guys... just saw this on my FB:

Being a trader is a lot like being an Air Force test pilot. There are moves to make that are highly profitable, but most people avoid them because they require a strong constitution to prevent vomiting.