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fehro wrote:SPY upper resistance.. here.. or up to pink E.. holds here Cyan E ?.. I know crazy talk .. bears only way to dent the weekly/monthly candles
daily SPY MACD closes at a new all time record high of 2.8 and change. I'm not sure why anyone would long that. That's clearly a short on a basic level and a winner. Even if it goes against you for a bit, it will win.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
DellGriffith wrote:daily SPY MACD closes at a new all time record high of 2.8 and change. I'm not sure why anyone would long that. That's clearly a short on a basic level and a winner. Even if it goes against you for a bit, it will win.
I don't see why this should be true. Weekly MacD histogram just turned positive last Friday for the first time since May. I am not impressed with the forecasting power of differences in MA.
DellGriffith wrote:daily SPY MACD closes at a new all time record high of 2.8 and change. I'm not sure why anyone would long that. That's clearly a short on a basic level and a winner. Even if it goes against you for a bit, it will win.
I don't see why this should be true. Weekly MacD histogram just turned positive last Friday for the first time since May. I am not impressed with the forecasting power of differences in MA.
You should always doubt everything. I would never tell you to trade based on what you read on a message board.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
The fundamentals behind my trading is that QE has ended. Since 2008, we've had two periods: QE and no QE. They trade differently. The last QE ended 1 year ago tomorrow, October 29, 2014. The market has been basically flat for the past year. Up 5%. Its funny that the close of trading on the last day of QE was 194.19 and if we went back down there, it would close that gap at 195 on SPY.
I think that's what we get. The market rises if there is QE. If there is no QE, it stays flat and is wide open to waterfall events (like 2011 or last august).
I think the bear case has merit until they do more QE .... or actually fix the economy but not holding my breath there.
Do I think the market is about to launch into some massive rally like all of 2013 and most of 2014? No. Because there is no QE. i think we're going back down.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
Oct 29: down to 20.59% Last time we had a low reading was 6/25 when we had a big drop. Doesn't guarantee a drop immediately since it could just stay low for 2-3 weeks before a drop, but some might take the low bear reading as a warning.