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10/28/2015 Live Update

fehro
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by fehro »

SPY upper resistance.. here.. or up to pink E.. holds here Cyan E ?.. I know crazy talk .. bears only way to dent the weekly/monthly candles
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Cobra
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by Cobra »


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Cobra
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by Cobra »

well, guess that's it for today. Thursday tomorrow has been generally bull friendly. thank you guys, I'll see you tomorrow.

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Al_Dente
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by Al_Dente »

Another new all-time-high: XLY
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. This is just my opinion NOT investment advice.
brokebybernacke2
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by brokebybernacke2 »

fehro wrote:SPY upper resistance.. here.. or up to pink E.. holds here Cyan E ?.. I know crazy talk .. bears only way to dent the weekly/monthly candles
im calling a TOP!!!! TOP!!! stop run TOP!!! :lol:
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Unique
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by Unique »

Day trades: ALL OUT @ 2083. Be back tonight. Peace!
Restarted the AAPL blog into E-mini S&P 500 Trading Blog , see here: http://aapltechnicals.blogspot.ca/
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MrMiyagi
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Post by MrMiyagi »

NEVER
EVER
GOING
DOWN
AGAIN
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BullBear52x
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by BullBear52x »

Long term on IWM and Trans both are in the buy-able dips now that HH is seen, down trend is in question now, dips will be bought.
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My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
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BullBear52x
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Re:

Post by BullBear52x »

MrMiyagi wrote:NEVER
EVER
GOING
DOWN
AGAIN
can you add EVAR......
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
marcueus
Posts: 129
Joined: Sat Nov 29, 2014 5:27 pm

Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by marcueus »

we have beautiful W harmonic formation on spx so we will get at least few retests of 2000 area ;)
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DellGriffith
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by DellGriffith »

daily SPY MACD closes at a new all time record high of 2.8 and change. I'm not sure why anyone would long that. That's clearly a short on a basic level and a winner. Even if it goes against you for a bit, it will win.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
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Out of Bounds
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by Out of Bounds »

Caution
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MrMiyagi
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Post by MrMiyagi »

BullBear52x wrote:can you add EVAR......
EVARRRRR!!!!
kongen
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by kongen »

DellGriffith wrote:daily SPY MACD closes at a new all time record high of 2.8 and change. I'm not sure why anyone would long that. That's clearly a short on a basic level and a winner. Even if it goes against you for a bit, it will win.
I don't see why this should be true. Weekly MacD histogram just turned positive last Friday for the first time since May. I am not impressed with the forecasting power of differences in MA.
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DellGriffith
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by DellGriffith »

kongen wrote:
DellGriffith wrote:daily SPY MACD closes at a new all time record high of 2.8 and change. I'm not sure why anyone would long that. That's clearly a short on a basic level and a winner. Even if it goes against you for a bit, it will win.
I don't see why this should be true. Weekly MacD histogram just turned positive last Friday for the first time since May. I am not impressed with the forecasting power of differences in MA.
You should always doubt everything. I would never tell you to trade based on what you read on a message board.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
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DellGriffith
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by DellGriffith »

The fundamentals behind my trading is that QE has ended. Since 2008, we've had two periods: QE and no QE. They trade differently. The last QE ended 1 year ago tomorrow, October 29, 2014. The market has been basically flat for the past year. Up 5%. Its funny that the close of trading on the last day of QE was 194.19 and if we went back down there, it would close that gap at 195 on SPY.

I think that's what we get. The market rises if there is QE. If there is no QE, it stays flat and is wide open to waterfall events (like 2011 or last august).

I think the bear case has merit until they do more QE .... or actually fix the economy but not holding my breath there.

Do I think the market is about to launch into some massive rally like all of 2013 and most of 2014? No. Because there is no QE. i think we're going back down.
bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
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DellGriffith
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Re: 10/28/2015 Live Update

Post by DellGriffith »

Bears wiped out in latest AAII data:

Oct 29: down to 20.59% Last time we had a low reading was 6/25 when we had a big drop. Doesn't guarantee a drop immediately since it could just stay low for 2-3 weeks before a drop, but some might take the low bear reading as a warning.

http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey/sent_results

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bearish as of SPY 406 on 2/17/23
currently: end bearish as of SPY 406 on 3/6/23
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