12/10/2015 Live Update

[Cobra]

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Bear flag breakdown? Nowadays bears are mostly just one legged, so I don't know if bear flag still works or not.

[Cobra]

members only update starts here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2015/12 ... ay-update/

[fehro]

SPX 200d 2064, SPX 20w 2030. mind the open gaps.. lower one 2020 range.. still open by pennies. Today's Channel crazy range today.. 2063 - 2018 or 2018- 2063 should it be wild today. super wild 1995 lower side. VIX would move up to the 23+ range.

[Tutti]

anyone else read this? Thoughts?

JPM_WeBeFuckedReport_10DEC15.tiff (181.87 KiB) Viewed 4372 times

LINK to the always enjoyable Dr. Fly:http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2015/12/09 ... d-fuckery/

[Out of Bounds]

anyone else read this? Thoughts?

JPM_WeBeFuckedReport_10DEC15.tiff

LINK to the always enjoyable Dr. Fly:http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2015/12/09 ... d-fuckery/

Tutti, that link is broken for me.

EDIT: The tiff, I mean

[Out of Bounds]

Long 205.67 even though AAPL is sucking wind.

[Tutti]

anyone else read this? Thoughts?

The attachment JPM_WeBeFuckedReport_10DEC15.tiff is no longer available

LINK to the always enjoyable Dr. Fly:http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2015/12/09 ... d-fuckery/

Tutti, that link is broken for me.

EDIT: The tiff, I mean

How is this? (JPEG)

[Out of Bounds]

anyone else read this? Thoughts?

JPM_WeBeFuckedReport_10DEC15.tiff

LINK to the always enjoyable Dr. Fly:http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2015/12/09 ... d-fuckery/

Tutti, that link is broken for me.

EDIT: The tiff, I mean

How is this? (JPEG)

JPM_WeBeFuckedReport_10DEC15_JPEG.jpg

That works great!

[Out of Bounds]

Sold longs at pivot point
Edit: 206 (a bit below pivot)

[brokebybernacke2]

anyone else read this? Thoughts?

JPM_WeBeFuckedReport_10DEC15.tiff

LINK to the always enjoyable Dr. Fly:http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2015/12/09 ... d-fuckery/

has some merit, 2050-2100 range bound market kills/moves those positions, question will be how fast...

[brokebybernacke2]

anyone else read this? Thoughts?

JPM_WeBeFuckedReport_10DEC15.tiff

LINK to the always enjoyable Dr. Fly:http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2015/12/09 ... d-fuckery/

has some merit, 2050-2100 range bound market kills/moves those positions, question will be how fast...

and if the fed has a trick up its sleeve...

[Junior Buffett]

VIX in backwardation is not a good sign for BULLS....

[fehro]

CPC - Trading view PCC and PVOEX - volume.. 60m / 5m.. spikes to 1.63! Put/Call ratio 60m/5m

[brokebybernacke2]

CPC - Trading view PCC and PVOEX - volume.. 60m / 5m.. spikes to 1.63! Put/Call ratio 60m/5m

Index options historically have a skew toward more put buying. This is because of the index put option hedging done by portfolio managers - this is also why the total put/call ratio is not the ideal ratio (it is polluted by this hedging volume). Recall that the idea of contrarian sentiment analysis is to measure the pulse of the speculative option crowd, who are wrong more than they are right. We should therefore be looking at the equity-only ratio for a purer measure of the speculative trader. the equity put call is not nearly as hot...

[fehro]

CPC - Trading view PCC and PVOEX - volume.. 60m / 5m.. spikes to 1.63! Put/Call ratio 60m/5m

Index options historically have a skew toward more put buying. This is because of the index put option hedging done by portfolio managers - this is also why the total put/call ratio is not the ideal ratio (it is polluted by this hedging volume). Recall that the idea of contrarian sentiment analysis is to measure the pulse of the speculative option crowd, who are wrong more than they are right. We should therefore be looking at the equity-only ratio for a purer measure of the speculative trader. the equity put call is not nearly as hot...

CPCE cyan / CPC -pink .. not sure yet what that is on Tradingview.. will check in the ah … CPCE at 0.95 30m TC2000 fwiw

[Cobra]

members only update at 10:02 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2015/12 ... ay-update/

[Trades with cats]

Tutti,
Follow-on today at Zerohope, saying the banks are all using puts in their models so that they pass the stress tests.Article draws parallels to the Lehman moment where they were all buying CDS on each other and it changed the market. You remember that a couple of times a year the Fed's repos go through the roof for one day as all the big boys window dress their assets for their public financial statements, so I wonder if the giant pool of puts is the same sort of thing and not at all related to trading strategy.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-0 ... mise-again

[Cobra]

3 push up.

[brokebybernacke2]

CPC - Trading view PCC and PVOEX - volume.. 60m / 5m.. spikes to 1.63! Put/Call ratio 60m/5m

Index options historically have a skew toward more put buying. This is because of the index put option hedging done by portfolio managers - this is also why the total put/call ratio is not the ideal ratio (it is polluted by this hedging volume). Recall that the idea of contrarian sentiment analysis is to measure the pulse of the speculative option crowd, who are wrong more than they are right. We should therefore be looking at the equity-only ratio for a purer measure of the speculative trader. the equity put call is not nearly as hot...

man weak week, feels quite risky here. feeling spx will test 2020 until next serious bull challenge...imho

[Al_Dente]

VIX in backwardation is not a good sign for BULLS....

how are you calculating this?