12/17/2015 Live Update

Unique · Post by **Unique** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 2:54 pm

Unique wrote:ES: 15minute projection. No secondary just one primary currently.

ES: Decent bounce so far according to the 15m projection chart, now let's take a peek at the hourly chart.

Great R/R short coming right up to hop on the bear train again.

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 2:55 pm

no trap
cut it out
NO TRAP

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:01 pm

SPX resistance here. hourly a tad bullish but still under 50d/200d/50w

MrMiyagi · Post by **MrMiyagi** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:05 pm

SPX trying to get back above 50/200sma pair

trying is the first step in failing

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:07 pm

Still voting for the bull box target 207.45-ish
But if this is a trap, the longs will reverse quickly, forcing her down to test the bottom line of the box,
and I will hate Santa

Unique · Post by **Unique** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:15 pm

ES: 15m 20EMA rejection

Out of Bounds · Post by **Out of Bounds** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:18 pm

Crazy market right now. Still long (heavy)

MrMiyagi · Post by **MrMiyagi** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:18 pm

Unique wrote:ES: 15m 20EMA rejection

2nd try coming up. Knock three times.....

Shaishen · Post by **Shaishen** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:20 pm

MrMiyagi wrote:
superxy wrote:but still have some to 202.8, right?
Correct, $205.03 and $202.87

202.87 would fill the 12/15 gap open (~ 2010 on /ES)

-

josephli · Post by **josephli** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:21 pm

Out of Bounds wrote:Crazy market right now. Still long (heavy)

boss, so you are counter trend trader?

josephli · Post by **josephli** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:21 pm

MrMiyagi wrote:
Unique wrote:ES: 15m 20EMA rejection
2nd try coming up. Knock three times.....

boss you don't think the 209.73 p-bar will be hit?

Out of Bounds · Post by **Out of Bounds** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:23 pm

josephli wrote:
Out of Bounds wrote:Crazy market right now. Still long (heavy)
boss, so you are counter trend trader?

Mostly... but not always. It changes according to how I interpret my signals.

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:27 pm

Where is Papa52x ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sWEfszb ... WEfszb9h8Q

MrMiyagi · Post by **MrMiyagi** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:27 pm

josephli wrote:boss you don't think the 209.73 p-bar will be hit?

From the 7th? Hmm.. it had a chance yesterday but today being down leaves it only 2 days. So my guess is no on that one.
But just a guess though...
Seasonality is Bullish after December 15th. Tomorrow is OPEX and there is A LOT of premium out there that Market Makers want to burn off into cinders.

fehro · Post by **fehro** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:31 pm

fehro wrote:MInd the morning gap.. possible resistance near here.. mind the open gap near the 2090 range.
20d 2070 to the downside, and major level 50d/50w/200d 2061-2062.

TLT 20d/50d 121.39 121.72 .... hmm opening above… TLT green, SPX green.. something is a tad suspicious… Next resistance 20w/200d 122.36/122.64

TLT new HOD< nears 200d

josephli · Post by **josephli** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:33 pm

Al_Dente wrote:Still voting for the bull box target 207.45-ish
But if this is a trap, the longs will reverse quickly, forcing her down to test the bottom line of the box,
and I will hate Santa
1217fiveb.png.png

pasta boss, may i ask what is your reading of volume a/d for nasdaq? this website has some interestingly extreme reading: http://datatraderpro.com/breadth/, but i have doubt about their accuracy/validity.

josephli · Post by **josephli** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:40 pm

fehro wrote:
fehro wrote:MInd the morning gap.. possible resistance near here.. mind the open gap near the 2090 range.
20d 2070 to the downside, and major level 50d/50w/200d 2061-2062.

TLT 20d/50d 121.39 121.72 .... hmm opening above… TLT green, SPX green.. something is a tad suspicious… Next resistance 20w/200d 122.36/122.64
TLT new HOD< nears 200d

This is what get me today, the 3 month treasury is trading below 0.25% rate floor set by fed yesterday. sounds like easy arbitrage opportunity by short sell the short term t-bill and do some overnight reverse repo with Fed?

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:41 pm

josephli wrote: pasta boss, may i ask what is your reading of volume a/d for nasdaq? this website has some interestingly extreme reading: http://datatraderpro.com/breadth/, but i have doubt about their accuracy/validity.

i don't know, i use this for nas

Al_Dente · Post by **Al_Dente** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:42 pm

“Think big, think positive, never show any sign of weakness. Always go for the throat….
Fear? That's the other guy's problem. Nothing you have ever experienced will prepare you for the absolute carnage you are about to witness… it's either kill or be killed. You make no friends in the pits and you take no prisoners. One minute you're up half a million … and the next, boom, your kids don't go to college and they've repossessed your Bentley. Are you with me?” ["Trading Places"]

ALdaytrade · Post by **ALdaytrade** » Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:43 pm

Out of Bounds wrote:
josephli wrote:
Out of Bounds wrote:Crazy market right now. Still long (heavy)
boss, so you are counter trend trader?
Mostly... but not always. It changes according to how I interpret my signals.

Always looking for formations, completing the H&S pattern here.

Three pushes up on left shoulder, three pushes up on right shoulder.

Thinking we will break and go down to the target of 2028-2032.

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12/17/2015 Live Update

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