market so far. lingering around top resistance. direction not clear. crude strong, USDJPY strong. will need to see the 2pm move. meanwhile, if the market is neutral, as my current judgement, then today should end with a doji
any chance you can explain why it is a buy? it seems contrarian should think it is a sell given the value is high?
Depends on whether option implied volatility premia are overvalued (sell) or undervalued (buy)
Indices and ETF Index the big swing producer
Rare all three get in synch like this
hmm... giving it a second thought, so by sell you mean sell volatility ( sell put/call with delta hedge)? or you are referring to directional trade, sell as in short?
Please look at extensive multiple past posts on this topic, thank you
/CL.. you could say there's a very stealthy RS in there seems doubtful .. would = explosive move into the close.. other wise.. over the weekend.. then gap up Tuesday.. after Monday's close */CL 20d sma 30.30
Not all buying is bullish. 2nd oil spike due to (once again) levered ETF liquidations. Such large moves counter to fundamentals and with no new rumors looked like manipulation, but no it is capitulation. And once again (i'm a broken record) I don't understand why someone would dump millions of position all at once unless other parts of the portfolio were in real trouble. Anyway go there for the charts. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-1 ... oil-market
Trades with cats wrote:Not all buying is bullish. 2nd oil spike due to (once again) levered ETF liquidations. Such large moves counter to fundamentals and with no new rumors looked like manipulation, but no it is capitulation. And once again (i'm a broken record) I don't understand why someone would dump millions of position all at once unless other parts of the portfolio were in real trouble. Anyway go there for the charts. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-1 ... oil-market
there's pro sitting on both side of the table of all time, one of them will win/lose it's zero sum game.
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.
BullBear you are right, but on the other hand pro's with large positions go to algos and dark pools so you can't see their large trades. I think when I see these huge fast spikes that look like major news it must be algos fishing for us minnows. But now I have to think bear market rules, no it is a fund blowing up and the banks (brokers) who they borrowed from are closing the accounts now because margin clerks are not known for finess
Trades with cats wrote:Not all buying is bullish. 2nd oil spike due to (once again) levered ETF liquidations. Such large moves counter to fundamentals and with no new rumors looked like manipulation, but no it is capitulation. And once again (i'm a broken record) I don't understand why someone would dump millions of position all at once unless other parts of the portfolio were in real trouble. Anyway go there for the charts. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-1 ... oil-market
there's pro sitting on both side of the table of all time, one of them will win/lose it's zero sum game.
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Last edited by Heck on Fri Feb 12, 2016 4:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Trades with cats wrote:BullBear you are right, but on the other hand pro's with large positions go to algos and dark pools so you can't see their large trades. I think when I see these huge fast spikes that look like major news it must be algos fishing for us minnows. But now I have to think bear market rules, no it is a fund blowing up and the banks (brokers) who they borrowed from are closing the accounts now because margin clerks are not known for finess
We minnows can use one of us as a bait to fish for Shark, hello any volunteer for the team?
My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. NOT a trade advice.