02/19/2016 Live Update

[josephli]

.

potentially they sold eurobond, or they can sell a bond then do a swap. technically they can avoid bring back the money to US to pay back, but remit those payment through their Ireland shell.[/quote]

Sorry, I'm not buying it. If they can move cash onshore for general purposes we wouldn't constantly hear that the debt is to avoid tax, but this stuff is way beyond the CPA exam.[/quote]

I am not really worry, first they do have piles of cash, then they have best team of tax lawyer. probably not something for us minnow to think about.
aapl has become a good candidate for long term investment. they still have cash and the brand, even if their iphone sale slow down. that said, it is not cheap enough yet.

[Out of Bounds]

Sorry, uempel , I clicked "Submit" too soon.

It is in Stockcharts on the drop down menu where I drew the arrow. It has three points to it: a beginning, an end, and another point in between. You can move them all to customize the parabola.

[BullBear52x]

Test, not any better some thing different on this site the last few days ...

Many things can affect browser performance. Check or change your DNS server setting. Sometimes the default DNS address provided by your ISP can become sluggish.

Popular alternatives include the Google DNS and OpenDNS service.

I changed it to open DNS server 888 844 let see how will this do.

Thanks.

[uempel]

Out of Bounds, how did you draw that Dome? Looks great. Is it a stockcharts tool - which I cannot find? Or some other kit? Tks.

For those who like Domes, the 3 day 5min is showing a great make up and may go to 187.63. They don't always make it, but lets see.

Like this?

Thanks! Hidden away up there

[josephli]

219contrarian.png.png

good chart, but the key question will be whether there are more bears than 2009 & 2003 march?

Here’s the same AAII on stockcharts, which answers your question.
“This time could be different”
The Bull % could go lower; I’d like to see it start curving back up for a “signal.”
25% is the green line for Bulls.
This is 20 years MONTHLY.
MONTHLY means UBER LONG TERM so don’t get too worked up about this.
But contrarians are taking note…

219contrarian2.png.png

thanks. so not that crowded on the bear side as yet.

[BullBear52x]

same thing. to view the forum is good and fast to post the message wasting few handles speed.

any how bears are picking up the speed now, rips will be sold intraday until my hot button says otherwise.

[K447]

Test, not any better some thing different on this site the last few days ...

Many things can affect browser performance. Check or change your DNS server setting. Sometimes the default DNS address provided by your ISP can become sluggish.

Popular alternatives include the Google DNS and OpenDNS service.

I changed it to open DNS server 888 844 let see how will this do.

Thanks.

Depending on where you made the DNS setting change, you may need to restart your internet router and your computer.

[Tutti]

The attachment 219contrarian.png.png is no longer available

good chart, but the key question will be whether there are more bears than 2009 & 2003 march?

Here’s the same AAII on stockcharts, which answers your question.
“This time could be different”
The Bull % could go lower; I’d like to see it start curving back up for a “signal.”
25% is the green line for Bulls.
This is 20 years MONTHLY.
MONTHLY means UBER LONG TERM so don’t get too worked up about this.
But contrarians are taking note…

The attachment 219contrarian2.png.png is no longer available

Read where Magellan has ~ 16% of assets in cash. CEO said he has no issue parking it there for next year and if his thinking is correct about the future believes 'better to be 12 months too late (to deploy the cash) than 12 minutes too early,' in these types of situations. With his access to information and his willingness to sit on cash when they are paid for returns it does give pause to my contrarian thinking.

Link to: http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2016/02/18 ... ince-2009/

Edited to show 16% not 20% of assets

[BullBear52x]

Test, not any better some thing different on this site the last few days ...

Many things can affect browser performance. Check or change your DNS server setting. Sometimes the default DNS address provided by your ISP can become sluggish.

Popular alternatives include the Google DNS and OpenDNS service.

I changed it to open DNS server 888 844 let see how will this do.

Thanks.

Depending on where you made the DNS setting change, you may need to restart your internet router and your computer.

OK I will have to do that after the market.
Thanks.

[josephli]

forex and crude did come back a little. so let's see what bull can do here. yet it is opex friday.....

[uempel]

Update:

[Al_Dente]

..................

Read where Magellan has ~ 20% of assets in cash. CEO said he has no issue parking it there for next year and if his thinking is correct about the future believes 'better to be 12 months too late (to deploy the cash) than 12 minutes too early,' in these types of situations. With his access to information and his willingness to sit on cash when they are paid for returns it does give pause to my contrarian thinking.
Link to: http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2016/02/18 ... ince-2009/

BIG % in cash
WOW
Thanks Toot

[Out of Bounds]

Geez. The SLO-MO bull.

[uempel]

Thanks Tutti

[uempel]

Ellipses on the 1 min SPX suggest a move now. Let's see. Perhaps due to opex nothing will happen

[BullBear52x]

bulls are fight-sty

[nikman]

Thanks Uempel. Yes, I did. Thanks for pointing it out for emphasis. Very much needed.

219contrarian.png.png

nikman, did you see Al_Dente's post?

[daytradingES]

12:43 PM 2/19/2016
CL starting to fall
ES following
SLd sim 1912.75

[uempel]

Ellipses on the 1 min SPX suggest a move now. Let's see. Perhaps due to opex nothing will happen

Time signal on the 1 min was a dud. I guess the opex path of least resistance is the center line of the blue channel.

[fehro]

SPY 30m.. smack in the middle of two gaps.. Bulls yellow "W" bottom, bears pink descending wedge C to D