Happy Easter from Mr. B
The NYMO cycle remains down.
I don't have much to add to last Friday's post.
While there are a bunch of possible downside target areas, I am pretty much focusing only on the first one for now.
There is a confluence developing in that zone as my middle keltner band is rising into the open gap at SPX 1994.71 as well as the NYMO benchmark of SPX 1993.69.
If price reaches this target area, I'll gauge at that point the prospects for further downside.
I am not expecting a smooth trip. There is likely to be some action on the 200 day MA re-connect, and there is some support around SPX 2009.
Besides, Mr. Market can do whatever he wants. he doesn't have to bother going to the target at all. It is just an idea.
Thursday produced a bull bar heading into a long weekend after breaking down a well established channel.
With quarter-end on deck, a rally to kiss the channel goodbye or even double top would not surprise.
I slapped a blue circle on the chart recognize this potentiality.
I started working short a week ago and remain short.
I have a break-even stop on now, and I scaled out a risk unit on Thursday to assure a profitable campaign.
If Thursday's rally continues next week though, I am inclined to reload the risk unit or even the position if it gets stopped out.
We'll see what happens and make a game-time decision.