Cobra's Market View

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Gap down below the recent range, so chances are the gap won't be filled.

Could be a H&S Top break down on the Global ES with 100% measured target at 1378.88 (ES point) which I don't believe, but to reach the blue line pointed by the red arrow is possible which happens to be Fib 61.8% measured target. Let's see. As discussed last night, we're not surprised with this gap down but the most important part is Bears need a huge down day, not, another reversal at opening.

So, go bears go!

Lackluster news out of China and Europe overnight but, another decent jobs report out of the US has us sitting slightly red. I say slightly red because anything short of BIG RED today >1% at close will likely be a failure for the bears.

Everything has aligned --- gap through 1400 support, metals/energy/AAPL down, DX up, even RSI/MACD look more overbought than oversold which is very atypical for mornings of late.

The gap MUST hold -- Looks like we'll open below 1397-1400 support so the next challenge is 1390 (low from 3/14) below that I think Cobra's target of 1385ish is reasonable.

GO BEARS!

Charts here: http://tradingchumps.blogspot.com/2012/ ... 22-12.html

Hello all! This is my 1st post so first of all I would like to thank Cobra for his analysis which i apreciate and follow daily.

These are my quick thoughts about S&P 500, NDX 100 and DAX 30. These are all hourly charts.

I would apreciate your feedback.

Jose wrote:Hello all! This is my 1st post so first of all I would like to thank Cobra for his analysis which i apreciate and follow daily.

These are my quick thoughts about S&P 500, NDX 100 and DAX 30. These are all hourly charts.

I would apreciate your feedback.

sp500.jpg

NDX 100.jpg

dax.jpg

Thanks and welcome aboard!

the open.

Where's TraderGirl? I think she said today we bottom.

Jose wrote:Hello all! This is my 1st post so first of all I would like to thank Cobra for his analysis which i apreciate and follow daily.

These are my quick thoughts about S&P 500, NDX 100 and DAX 30. These are all hourly charts.

I would apreciate your feedback.

sp500.jpg

NDX 100.jpg

dax.jpg

nice charts

almost at ZigZag target now. this is not enough for bears, so bears need work really hard from here.

Cobra wrote:almost at ZigZag target now. this is not enough for bears, so bears need work really hard from here.

i bought the dip = IVV @ 140.46 [SPY clone that trades free at fidelity]

i've done my part, may the market now go down please.

from global ES point of view, this looks like a continuation pattern.

So far up vol is much greater then dn vov.So lets see..The bears have got to work hard.

KENA wrote:So far up vol is much greater then dn vov.So lets see..The bears have got to work hard.

agreed. bulls are pretty much in control right now. need a bear response soon.

is it the turning point? is it because of some model based on stars? or is it because of equinox? or is it because of demark since he called a complete of count down last friday?
anywaya, i need vix to rise to a good level or it is super boring

Natural gas reports shortly, I hope UNG doesn't drop anymore.

1 min internals
Nydec 2000, “bear trend” if she can stay >2000
TRIN opens strong bear and is now reversing (volume starting to flowing into advancing stocks, pink arrow) so must be alert for a possible reversal.

Did someone get the report already? UNG's getting hammered!

stucap wrote:

Cobra wrote:almost at ZigZag target now. this is not enough for bears, so bears need work really hard from here.

i bought the dip = IVV @ 140.46 [SPY clone that trades free at fidelity]

i've done my part, may the market now go down please.

What do you mean by "trades free"? No commission? If so, any idea why? They want you to feel like a computer?

Lot of sustained algo buying at 9:45-9:46....now who do they sell to? They have been trading channel lines a lot lately and jumped the gun here above the channel.

DRAW CHANNELS AND TRENDLINES! It's become clearly their major trades. HFTs are in their own world and IMO, manipulate only at strategic spots in a quid pro quo"


"You buy...you stay (hooked-up)...You no buy...you leave"

GM All,

Added SKX 14 puts right here. Have a good day trading. GLTA jimme

We had a major Bradley turn date on March 16: if you look at the Dow, it made a high on the 16th and has been going lower ever since....